Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478779427ed1d30b24d702836a28b5836a2750348cb6e1d1d86e7b9ba2f0fbe1

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: PlayTimeof MOUZ, PlayTime
Resolved: May 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $193,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $215,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime	58c	26,466$15,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,184.72	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ	49c	17,215$8,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,498.89	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime	53c	13,720$7,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,393.94	400	51.5%206 W · 194 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ	49c	11,400$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,610.01	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ	46c	9,275$4,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,256.37	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ	55c	7,283$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed MOUZ	40c	7,000$2,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.05	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed MOUZ	45c	5,058$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,254.17	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ	47c	3,379$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.32	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ	40c	3,000$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.99	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ	37c	2,576$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.21	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed MOUZ	44c	2,573$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.04	312	48.4%151 W · 161 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime	59c	2,393$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978	798	59%471 W · 327 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed MOUZ	46c	2,321$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.22	330	41.8%138 W · 192 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime	58c	2,072$1,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.33	510	49%250 W · 260 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ	40c	2,060$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked PlayTime	54c	2,021$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.16	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed PlayTime	59c	2,021$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.71	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime	59c	1,857$1,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.06	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ	41c	1,846$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.14	368	51.6%190 W · 178 L	+25.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime	57c	1,800$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774	410	55.6%228 W · 182 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…7a8fbacked PlayTime	60c	1,761$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.23	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked PlayTime	60c	1,709$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.06	147	47.6%70 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed PlayTime	61c	1,601$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.51	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked MOUZ	39c	1,453$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.58	163	28.8%47 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed MOUZ	44c	1,391$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.78	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked MOUZ	50c	1,383$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.92	614	56%344 W · 270 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime	62c	1,300$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.99	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed MOUZ	64c	1,271$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.25	90	63.3%57 W · 33 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed PlayTime	49c	1,086$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.1	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed PlayTime	57c	1,068$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.46	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ	30c	1,055$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.44	285	49.1%140 W · 145 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x209f…7a55backed MOUZ	1c	1,050$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ	42c	1,048$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.41	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed PlayTime	60c	983.38$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.38	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked MOUZ	35c	945.85$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.84	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ	45c	901.68$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.96	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime	57c	894.21$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.32	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…4a1cbacked PlayTime	57c	889.98$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.69	68	73.5%50 W · 18 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	63cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked MOUZ	39c	874.75$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.53	251	43.4%109 W · 142 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ	46c	832$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.8	551	47.5%262 W · 289 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked MOUZ	48c	746.63$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.37	241	37.3%90 W · 151 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime	61c	742.22$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.47	507	69.2%351 W · 156 L	+33.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ	37c	730.4$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.25	176	51.1%90 W · 86 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ	40c	707.96$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.18	277	37.2%103 W · 174 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed MOUZ	45c	665.43$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed PlayTime	44c	660$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.6	226	47.3%107 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime	50c	624.51$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.31	574	49%281 W · 293 L	+33.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed PlayTime	52c	575.62$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.64	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ	45c	550.15$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed PlayTime	54c	540.48$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.12	318	65.1%207 W · 111 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed PlayTime	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	340	51.5%175 W · 165 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed MOUZ	66c	510$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked PlayTime	53c	499.99$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed PlayTime	60c	491$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.4	286	50%143 W · 143 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed MOUZ	47c	488.12$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ	38c	459.13$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.47	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ	44c	456.2$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.28	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ	40c	451.34$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.48	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ	37c	428.45$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.74	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ	34c	413.29$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	526	49.2%259 W · 267 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed MOUZ	46c	401.58$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.72	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ	47c	400$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.3	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked PlayTime	79c	367.16$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.91	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ	42c	360.98$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.61	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime	40c	359.75$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.85	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed PlayTime	53c	358.67$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.12	191	45.5%87 W · 104 L	+13.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed MOUZ	52c	332.7$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	130	68.5%89 W · 41 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked PlayTime	61c	320.79$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.11	366	54.1%198 W · 168 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed MOUZ	64c	317$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.64	515	44.9%231 W · 284 L	+40.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ	37c	313.6$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.09	246	36.6%90 W · 156 L	-14.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ	43c	296.14$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.34	305	34.4%105 W · 200 L	-14.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed MOUZ	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…0457backed MOUZ	35c	286.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ	39c	283.75$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked MOUZ	37c	282.4$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.24	159	57.2%91 W · 68 L	+8.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime	58c	272.45$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.91	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed PlayTime	67c	264.03$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.25	295	46.1%136 W · 159 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed MOUZ	41c	261$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.75	227	52.9%120 W · 107 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime	54c	256.73$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.03	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f11…5d87backed MOUZ	30c	252.33$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.7	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked PlayTime	60c	234$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.6	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-5.2wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed PlayTime	30c	223$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.15	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed MOUZ	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	460	49.8%229 W · 231 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed PlayTime	62c	211.28$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.29	194	58.8%114 W · 80 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ	43c	210.11$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.21	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ	44c	205.24$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.95	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked MOUZ	21c	200.75$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.88	563	43.9%247 W · 316 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	275	48%132 W · 143 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed MOUZ	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed PlayTime	61c	196.72$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.72	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+5.0wins	+0.21per pick	58cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ	40c	182.81$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.45	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ	17c	182.74$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	691	32.6%225 W · 466 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ	35c	173.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.43	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2a…b7b5backed PlayTime	56c	160$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	61	62.3%38 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed PlayTime	43c	159$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.75	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime	55c	156.9$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.71	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked MOUZ	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group APlayTime won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event