Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39131c8e5b433e6005b3950e81f0a46a8f2a4b75a365790f625ccd0fe9d4bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 5c | 14,508$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.9 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 61c | 8,330$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked MOUZ | 42c | 4,755$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.34 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 57c | 4,743$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.65 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 35c | 3,362$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.19 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 60c | 3,228$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.68 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 3,023$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.96 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,712$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.88 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PlayTime | 50c | 2,057$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.2 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,935$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.61 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,675$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.96 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,582$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.54 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,568$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed PlayTime | 56c | 1,528$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.64 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed PlayTime | 26c | 1,514$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.84 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PlayTime | 41c | 1,408$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.45 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PlayTime | 6c | 1,130$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed PlayTime | 29c | 1,103$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,094$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.69 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,092$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.75 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PlayTime | 32c | 1,037$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.03 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,036$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.03 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked PlayTime | 45c | 997.46$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.29 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 39c | 935.22$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.49 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 70c | 909.17$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.48 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked PlayTime | 20c | 875$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 37c | 834.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.04 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ | 70c | 811.77$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 34c | 799.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PlayTime | 59c | 796.19$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.79 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed PlayTime | 62c | 791.39$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.41 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PlayTime | 33c | 680.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 56c | 663.41$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked MOUZ | 43c | 652.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ | 49c | 609.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed MOUZ | 54c | 608.42$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.02 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 68c | 574.5$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 60c | 558.9$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed MOUZ | 42c | 552.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked PlayTime | 38c | 531.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked MOUZ | 69c | 504.14$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PlayTime | 43c | 492.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed MOUZ | 46c | 482.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.29 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 32c | 472.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 48c | 465$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ | 67c | 464.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 58c | 455.87$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.63 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 452.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.14 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ | 61c | 450.43$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed MOUZ | 67c | 445.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 44c | 411.8$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked PlayTime | 44c | 397.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 41c | 385.62$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 318.01$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked PlayTime | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 59c | 293.64$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 37c | 256.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 29c | 253.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed MOUZ | 66c | 246.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed PlayTime | 61c | 246.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked PlayTime | 61c | 223.58$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed MOUZ | 68c | 218$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 41c | 216.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed PlayTime | 56c | 214.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked PlayTime | 48c | 203.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed PlayTime | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PlayTime | 19c | 190$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed PlayTime | 55c | 182.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ | 50c | 181.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed MOUZ | 73c | 178.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 38c | 175$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed MOUZ | 61c | 174.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 172.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked PlayTime | 36c | 171.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PlayTime | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed PlayTime | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 44c | 168$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 147.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed MOUZ | 35c | 144$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked PlayTime | 33c | 137.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked MOUZ | 47c | 137.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked PlayTime | 53c | 135.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PlayTime | 45c | 134.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 79c | 129.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ | 43c | 129.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ | 59c | 129.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked MOUZ | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 60c | 115.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed PlayTime | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed PlayTime | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed MOUZ | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PlayTime | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…ba37backed PlayTime | 61c | 98.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked MOUZ | 41c | 97.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed PlayTime | 58c | 96.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PlayTime | 53c | 94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ | 42c | 93.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 60c | 83.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group APlayTime won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.