Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7cb65419d004efb42bd9aaca6d4856979179f46596b5b6fd241d652b1b2d10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 57c | 63,248$36,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,123.1 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 39,209$23,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,921.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 56c | 23,415$13,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,386.05 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 54c | 19,999$10,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.25 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 13,071$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,972.63 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 11,824$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.69 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 57c | 9,874$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,585.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Team Falcons | 29c | 9,494$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 9,308$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.39 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 9,031$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 8,637$6,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.94 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 8,050$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.6 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 7,164$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.1 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Falcons | 55c | 7,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 28c | 6,164$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.52 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8551…83f6backed Team Spirit | 37c | 6,122$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 53c | 6,004$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.2 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 5,521$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.33 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 5,177$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.63 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.9 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 4,978$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.32 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,694$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.7 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 52c | 4,589$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.67 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Team Falcons | 28c | 4,448$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.31 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 37c | 4,073$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.11 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Falcons | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,799$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.54 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Spirit | 44c | 3,788$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.33 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,711$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.67 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 3,599$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.24 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed Team Spirit | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 26c | 3,438$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.78 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 40c | 3,388$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.05 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 3,059$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.66 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 2,893$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 42c | 2,885$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.99 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Falcons | 29c | 2,740$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.06 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,701$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.55 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Falcons | 5c | 2,691$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 17c | 2,487$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,260$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.44 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,254$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.57 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,160$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 2,119$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.73 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 2,040$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.31 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 45c | 2,035$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.9 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,001$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.42 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Falcons | 11c | 1,971$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,921$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.63 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,919$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,917$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.23 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Falcons | 5c | 1,892$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 1,847$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.52 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,783$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.84 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,681$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.89 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,592$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.06 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.96 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Spirit | 43c | 1,574$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.58 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,534$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.88 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,508$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.55 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,495$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.03 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,487$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,401$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.66 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,393$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.49 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Team Falcons | 23c | 1,336$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 1,213$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,209$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.96 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Team Falcons | 2c | 1,177$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…4254backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,176$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.33 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,157$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,053$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.56 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 45c | 1,048$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.29 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,046$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…c44ebacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,025$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.92 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,019$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.77 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Falcons | 45c | 1,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 29c | 998.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.44 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 53c | 995.72$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.75 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Falcons | 63c | 933.3$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.55 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons | 27c | 921.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 6c | 910.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 896.53$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.06 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 35c | 861.71$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.27 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 846.51$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.14 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 39c | 846.3$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.63 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 47c | 843.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.46 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 56c | 832.94$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.06 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.