Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x445eba7653ea7e18d4a43e6b6ba0fdc578e9e7bac1a309c6cec82bbd4686984f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit | 41c | 128,264$52,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,627.92 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 59c | 124,914$73,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,221.81 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 22,028$13,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,830.76 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 42c | 21,791$9,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,152.02 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 58c | 19,907$11,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,360.74 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8551…83f6backed Team Spirit | 42c | 13,539$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 13,332$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 10,782$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.89 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit | 42c | 9,440$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.95 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Falcons | 63c | 8,693$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.08 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Team Spirit | 42c | 7,599$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Spirit | 41c | 7,224$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.03 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Spirit | 42c | 6,021$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.9 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Spirit | 42c | 5,154$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.75 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 5,042$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.67 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 58c | 4,874$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.08 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 17c | 4,835$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.55 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 41c | 4,712$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.81 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,584$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.6 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,573$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.85 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons | 61c | 4,084$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.25 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed Team Spirit | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,926$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.1 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Spirit | 1c | 3,847$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 3,436$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.07 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 3,301$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.4 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Spirit | 1c | 3,150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 3,087$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit | 42c | 2,969$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.03 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 2,896$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.15 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,653$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.7 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,525$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.5 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 2,403$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.37 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 32c | 2,352$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.75 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,334$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.05 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,239$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.41 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 2,198$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.18 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,116$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.77 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Spirit | 21c | 2,021$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.54 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Spirit | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,951$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.83 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,942$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.89 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,930$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.77 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 23c | 1,917$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.01 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Spirit | 10c | 1,895$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,858$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.55 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,792$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.65 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,702$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.81 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,658$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.85 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,617$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.81 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,600$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,449$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.94 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,447$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.23 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,349$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,216$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.24 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.67 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,076$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.15 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,072$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.36 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Spirit | 9c | 1,016$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Spirit | 42c | 982.28$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 16c | 975.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Spirit | 10c | 967.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 61c | 960.59$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.63 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 10c | 910.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Spirit | 40c | 846.29$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 833.72$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Team Spirit | 35c | 824.81$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 59c | 823.52$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 61c | 817.35$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 777.46$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.76 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 772.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed Team Spirit | 43c | 772.64$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.24 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 766$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.5 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.18 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Falcons | 60c | 756.21$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.73 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit | 35c | 746.51$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Falcons | 58c | 699.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 646.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…6065backed Team Spirit | 42c | 633.42$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 585.42$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.09 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Team Spirit | 43c | 533.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 524$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 57c | 523.8$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Falcons | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 495.33$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 491.84$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 481.59$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Spirit | 43c | 480.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Spirit | 10c | 474.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Team Spirit | 28c | 474$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 64c | 465.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 457.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.