TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof South America Rejects, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$647,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$797,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic57c82,526$46,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,773.331,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Heroic56c40,616$22,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,056.1440051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed South America Rejects44c40,423$17,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,860.0533746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects43c23,231$9,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,992.9796357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb042…204cbacked South America Rejects41c16,284$6,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,676.334055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Heroic56c14,494$8,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,377.539055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Heroic59c13,312$7,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,507.6810262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Heroic69c13,149$9,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.8771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic52c10,297$5,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.261,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Heroic62c9,605$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.1350449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed South America Rejects47c9,348$4,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.5515951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects38c8,595$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.4196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Heroic45c8,586$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,752.4989341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects42c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.9915544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked South America Rejects66c6,497$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,315.285168.6%35 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects36c5,911$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.7743344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed South America Rejects43c5,795$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.7624153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Heroic55c5,180$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.5413068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Heroic56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed South America Rejects49c4,734$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.7148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked South America Rejects76c4,645$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.086569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects45c4,544$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.380056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Heroic56c4,509$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.1827143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects44c4,364$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.241,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed South America Rejects44c4,190$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.7826540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed South America Rejects43c4,037$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.5111359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects45c3,804$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.489440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic41c3,720$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.11,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Heroic64c3,716$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.8650832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic56c3,677$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.641,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Heroic58c3,369$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.064045%18 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed South America Rejects45c3,343$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.1318351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed South America Rejects42c3,316$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.2715848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed South America Rejects43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29027153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked South America Rejects32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic44c2,999$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.191,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked South America Rejects31c2,975$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.321747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked South America Rejects55c2,754$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.4436547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Heroic65c2,709$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.8335062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Heroic56c2,708$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.7343049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked South America Rejects43c2,700$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1616043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked South America Rejects48c2,638$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.597058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked South America Rejects54c2,637$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.7622842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed South America Rejects48c2,500$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Heroic67c2,441$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.8918661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Heroic65c2,383$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.3623650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked Heroic63c2,338$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.0116547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Heroic64c2,325$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.6838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic54c2,321$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.7555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked South America Rejects40c2,281$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.2894442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6438…fc41backed Heroic55c2,280$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.882050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed South America Rejects43c2,250$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.529348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects43c2,207$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.9556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects38c2,203$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.3360646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic44c2,154$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.741,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic33c2,107$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.5299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects41c2,086$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.1947046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects40c2,040$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed South America Rejects44c2,016$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.168042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked South America Rejects46c1,999$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.371850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic56c1,994$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.368258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed Heroic61c1,972$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.0810546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked South America Rejects53c1,912$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.5250347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects40c1,831$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.891,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Heroic63c1,823$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.5918356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Heroic32c1,796$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.159630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed South America Rejects42c1,750$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73519742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects57c1,714$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.1161745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked South America Rejects42c1,702$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.989555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic55c1,690$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.0185851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic40c1,548$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.861,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69015244.7%68 W · 84 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9838049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed South America Rejects44c1,481$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.3518954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Heroic53c1,461$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.7422853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed South America Rejects43c1,456$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.1441351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed South America Rejects36c1,394$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2310735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects44c1,320$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4356852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Heroic69c1,319$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4455457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic48c1,302$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.161,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects48c1,216$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked South America Rejects45c1,181$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.814058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Heroic49c1,146$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.8116954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb4…a903backed South America Rejects67c1,133$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.813844.7%17 W · 21 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects44c1,128$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.5761256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Heroic52c1,123$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.3230356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Heroic60c1,104$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.430336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects44c1,100$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7637945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed South America Rejects44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.21,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…b70fbacked South America Rejects35c1,081$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.282119%4 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked South America Rejects42c1,062$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.5935951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b45…1a0abacked South America Rejects28c1,050$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941758.8%10 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick34cpaid+57.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects38c1,029$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4686659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked South America Rejects48c1,020$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.391756.5%518 W · 399 L+79.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked South America Rejects43c1,016$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.7929240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed South America Rejects46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46052046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Heroic57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43017965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects42c1,000$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.533541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed South America Rejects47c986.88$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.836058.3%35 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Heroic58c962.49$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2534561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.