Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaee653de17b3f5051f9c31e1dcf2ef7364c59c3dee23354abfc225ec907ef3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof South America Rejects, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic | 57c | 82,526$46,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,773.33 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Heroic | 56c | 40,616$22,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,056.14 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed South America Rejects | 44c | 40,423$17,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,860.05 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 43c | 23,231$9,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,992.97 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked South America Rejects | 41c | 16,284$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Heroic | 56c | 14,494$8,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.53 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Heroic | 59c | 13,312$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.68 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Heroic | 69c | 13,149$9,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.87 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 52c | 10,297$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922.26 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Heroic | 62c | 9,605$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.13 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed South America Rejects | 47c | 9,348$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.55 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 8,595$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Heroic | 45c | 8,586$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.49 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked South America Rejects | 66c | 6,497$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.28 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 36c | 5,911$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.77 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed South America Rejects | 43c | 5,795$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.76 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Heroic | 55c | 5,180$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.54 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Heroic | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed South America Rejects | 49c | 4,734$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.71 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 4,645$3,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.08 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects | 45c | 4,544$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.3 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Heroic | 56c | 4,509$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.18 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 44c | 4,364$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.24 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed South America Rejects | 44c | 4,190$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.78 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed South America Rejects | 43c | 4,037$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.51 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 45c | 3,804$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.4 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 41c | 3,720$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.1 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Heroic | 64c | 3,716$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.86 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 56c | 3,677$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.64 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Heroic | 58c | 3,369$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.06 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed South America Rejects | 45c | 3,343$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.13 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed South America Rejects | 42c | 3,316$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.27 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed South America Rejects | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked South America Rejects | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 44c | 2,999$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.19 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked South America Rejects | 31c | 2,975$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 2,754$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.44 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Heroic | 65c | 2,709$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.83 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 56c | 2,708$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.73 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked South America Rejects | 43c | 2,700$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 2,638$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.59 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked South America Rejects | 54c | 2,637$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.76 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed South America Rejects | 48c | 2,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Heroic | 67c | 2,441$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.89 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Heroic | 65c | 2,383$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.36 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Heroic | 63c | 2,338$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.01 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Heroic | 64c | 2,325$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.68 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 54c | 2,321$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.75 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked South America Rejects | 40c | 2,281$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.28 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed Heroic | 55c | 2,280$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed South America Rejects | 43c | 2,250$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects | 43c | 2,207$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.95 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 2,203$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.33 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 44c | 2,154$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.74 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 33c | 2,107$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.52 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 41c | 2,086$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.19 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 40c | 2,040$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed South America Rejects | 44c | 2,016$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.16 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 1,999$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic | 56c | 1,994$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.36 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Heroic | 61c | 1,972$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.08 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked South America Rejects | 53c | 1,912$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.52 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects | 40c | 1,831$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.89 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Heroic | 63c | 1,823$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.59 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Heroic | 32c | 1,796$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.15 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed South America Rejects | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects | 57c | 1,714$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.11 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked South America Rejects | 42c | 1,702$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.98 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,690$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.01 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 40c | 1,548$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.86 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,481$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.35 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Heroic | 53c | 1,461$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.74 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed South America Rejects | 43c | 1,456$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.14 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,394$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.23 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,320$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.43 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Heroic | 69c | 1,319$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.44 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 48c | 1,302$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.16 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects | 48c | 1,216$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.2 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 1,181$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.8 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Heroic | 49c | 1,146$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.81 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…a903backed South America Rejects | 67c | 1,133$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects | 44c | 1,128$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.57 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Heroic | 52c | 1,123$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.32 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Heroic | 60c | 1,104$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.4 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects | 44c | 1,100$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.76 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…b70fbacked South America Rejects | 35c | 1,081$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked South America Rejects | 42c | 1,062$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.59 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b45…1a0abacked South America Rejects | 28c | 1,050$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 1,029$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.46 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked South America Rejects | 48c | 1,020$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.3 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 1,016$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed South America Rejects | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Heroic | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects | 42c | 1,000$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed South America Rejects | 47c | 986.88$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.83 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Heroic | 58c | 962.49$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Yes won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.