TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,038,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,228,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,038,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic51c86,800$44,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,468.611,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects47c36,291$17,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,274.7971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Heroic75c34,755$26,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,065.475236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed South America Rejects48c34,118$16,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,623.6633746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Heroic54c32,011$17,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,187.140051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects77c25,900$19,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,018.5243344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Heroic54c24,786$13,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,346.2618351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects45c23,312$10,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,821.3796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed South America Rejects46c20,220$9,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,013.591533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Heroic39c19,017$7,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,490.111030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed South America Rejects43c18,888$8,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,766.1516842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed South America Rejects46c18,839$8,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,172.859055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Heroic55c18,494$10,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,101.264045%18 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed South America Rejects67c17,587$11,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,803.5522848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Heroic54c17,460$9,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,428.394148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Heroic33c14,545$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,796.537429.7%22 W · 52 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Heroic54c13,635$7,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,362.7315544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed South America Rejects57c13,597$7,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,834.126540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed South America Rejects44c13,574$5,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600.427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed South America Rejects45c12,663$5,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,915.7515951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…204cbacked South America Rejects45c11,326$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.314055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed South America Rejects44c8,840$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950.426256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked South America Rejects37c8,838$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.5323546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects37c8,582$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,431.1896645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked South America Rejects46c8,358$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,487.183154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects47c7,897$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.3780256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed South America Rejects44c7,068$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.0922647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Heroic56c6,690$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,740.636569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects30c6,399$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.4467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed South America Rejects48c6,112$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.2448954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed South America Rejects59c5,600$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.8262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed South America Rejects67c5,468$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.511758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Heroic56c5,285$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.7222842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked South America Rejects66c5,174$3,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.3228748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked South America Rejects25c5,075$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.113854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked South America Rejects45c5,024$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.186553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed South America Rejects53c4,873$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.4838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic53c4,745$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.211,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6438…fc41backed South America Rejects67c4,567$3,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.982050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Heroic68c4,507$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.8210262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic56c4,405$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.6745046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed South America Rejects66c4,287$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.7555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects45c4,115$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.321,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked South America Rejects45c4,091$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.8116547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Heroic54c4,076$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.022268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic21c4,033$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.8380443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects42c4,020$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.5888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic55c3,989$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.1234544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Heroic54c3,696$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.8956955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked South America Rejects45c3,540$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.414346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects75c3,451$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.7615244.7%68 W · 84 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Heroic61c3,364$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.573228.1%9 W · 23 L-10.4wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-57.4%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic55c3,161$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.2589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Heroic54c3,142$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.5627143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects55c3,069$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.032,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed South America Rejects57c3,045$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.3551140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Heroic67c3,038$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.1813068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked South America Rejects49c3,012$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.159650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic1c3,000$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4337811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Heroic53c2,998$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.713951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed South America Rejects47c2,987$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.119158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed South America Rejects39c2,975$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.955549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Heroic48c2,956$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.0361745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects47c2,740$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.155457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed South America Rejects48c2,737$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.161,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic46c2,698$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed South America Rejects54c2,672$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.122842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked South America Rejects64c2,670$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.769428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked South America Rejects51c2,641$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.549630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Heroic3c2,536$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7337018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Heroic56c2,520$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.1612560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed South America Rejects43c2,471$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.271070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Heroic56c2,460$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.812630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked South America Rejects25c2,410$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.366842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed South America Rejects43c2,275$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.6211547%54 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Heroic54c2,267$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.2729348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Heroic55c2,239$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.3924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Heroic54c2,216$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.5989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic25c2,193$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.545061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Heroic53c2,155$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.2647046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked South America Rejects46c2,082$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.216954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Heroic54c2,019$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.743049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Heroic53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked South America Rejects43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9956542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed Heroic17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects47c1,986$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.4561456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects44c1,983$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.460552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic55c1,976$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.8685851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked South America Rejects47c1,933$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.6556945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed South America Rejects72c1,840$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.2850832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Heroic51c1,802$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92550053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Heroic40c1,788$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.8815739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9617…bf1abacked Heroic55c1,771$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.971457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed South America Rejects44c1,750$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9923650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects47c1,743$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.3551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked South America Rejects47c1,734$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.0732652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic53c1,724$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.821,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed Heroic57c1,709$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.210546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked South America Rejects45c1,649$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.9436851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked South America Rejects53c1,604$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.