Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88906e0cb8fe66fe492b81d6fe700fe5a5fac96f0931120a74ecd8f9d55a8f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,038,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,228,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,038,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic | 51c | 86,800$44,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,468.61 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 47c | 36,291$17,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,274.79 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Heroic | 75c | 34,755$26,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,065.47 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed South America Rejects | 48c | 34,118$16,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,623.66 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Heroic | 54c | 32,011$17,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,187.1 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 77c | 25,900$19,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.52 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Heroic | 54c | 24,786$13,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,346.26 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 45c | 23,312$10,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,821.37 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed South America Rejects | 46c | 20,220$9,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,013.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Heroic | 39c | 19,017$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,490.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed South America Rejects | 43c | 18,888$8,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,766.15 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed South America Rejects | 46c | 18,839$8,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,172.85 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Heroic | 55c | 18,494$10,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,101.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed South America Rejects | 67c | 17,587$11,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.55 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Heroic | 54c | 17,460$9,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,428.39 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Heroic | 33c | 14,545$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.53 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 54c | 13,635$7,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,362.73 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed South America Rejects | 57c | 13,597$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.1 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed South America Rejects | 44c | 13,574$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.4 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed South America Rejects | 45c | 12,663$5,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,915.75 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 11,326$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.31 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed South America Rejects | 44c | 8,840$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.42 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 8,838$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.53 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 8,582$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.18 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 8,358$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects | 47c | 7,897$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.37 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed South America Rejects | 44c | 7,068$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Heroic | 56c | 6,690$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.63 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 30c | 6,399$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.44 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed South America Rejects | 48c | 6,112$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.24 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed South America Rejects | 59c | 5,600$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.82 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed South America Rejects | 67c | 5,468$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Heroic | 56c | 5,285$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.72 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked South America Rejects | 66c | 5,174$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.32 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked South America Rejects | 25c | 5,075$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.1 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 5,024$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.18 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed South America Rejects | 53c | 4,873$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.48 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 53c | 4,745$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed South America Rejects | 67c | 4,567$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Heroic | 68c | 4,507$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.82 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic | 56c | 4,405$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.67 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed South America Rejects | 66c | 4,287$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.75 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 45c | 4,115$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.32 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 4,091$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.81 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Heroic | 54c | 4,076$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.02 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic | 21c | 4,033$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.83 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 42c | 4,020$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.58 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic | 55c | 3,989$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.12 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heroic | 54c | 3,696$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.89 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked South America Rejects | 45c | 3,540$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.41 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects | 75c | 3,451$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.76 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Heroic | 61c | 3,364$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.57 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 55c | 3,161$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.25 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Heroic | 54c | 3,142$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.56 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects | 55c | 3,069$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed South America Rejects | 57c | 3,045$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.35 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Heroic | 67c | 3,038$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.18 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked South America Rejects | 49c | 3,012$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.15 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic | 1c | 3,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Heroic | 53c | 2,998$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed South America Rejects | 47c | 2,987$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.11 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed South America Rejects | 39c | 2,975$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.95 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Heroic | 48c | 2,956$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.03 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects | 47c | 2,740$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.1 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed South America Rejects | 48c | 2,737$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.16 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 46c | 2,698$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.8 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed South America Rejects | 54c | 2,672$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked South America Rejects | 64c | 2,670$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.76 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked South America Rejects | 51c | 2,641$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.54 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Heroic | 3c | 2,536$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heroic | 56c | 2,520$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.16 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed South America Rejects | 43c | 2,471$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Heroic | 56c | 2,460$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.8 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked South America Rejects | 25c | 2,410$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.36 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed South America Rejects | 43c | 2,275$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.62 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Heroic | 54c | 2,267$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.27 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Heroic | 55c | 2,239$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.39 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Heroic | 54c | 2,216$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.59 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic | 25c | 2,193$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Heroic | 53c | 2,155$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.26 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 2,082$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.2 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 54c | 2,019$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.7 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Heroic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed Heroic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects | 47c | 1,986$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.45 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,983$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.4 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,976$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.86 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked South America Rejects | 47c | 1,933$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.65 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed South America Rejects | 72c | 1,840$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.28 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Heroic | 51c | 1,802$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Heroic | 40c | 1,788$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.88 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…bf1abacked Heroic | 55c | 1,771$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,743$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.35 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked South America Rejects | 47c | 1,734$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.07 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 53c | 1,724$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.82 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Heroic | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked South America Rejects | 45c | 1,649$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.94 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked South America Rejects | 53c | 1,604$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Yes won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.