Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa207ff8c76943e15cb53044f9a67c1a3376424cb62a0d3051bf65405fd94812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $639,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic | 53c | 76,744$40,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,821.09 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects | 46c | 46,708$21,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,229.71 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic | 51c | 46,019$23,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,699.48 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked South America Rejects | 47c | 44,343$20,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,502.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 54c | 38,427$20,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,808.07 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 45c | 24,832$11,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,758.96 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed South America Rejects | 48c | 17,516$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,024.35 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 15,238$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,635.69 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 64c | 14,508$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.9 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 52c | 13,349$6,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.91 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 41c | 11,932$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.54 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed South America Rejects | 48c | 10,999$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.14 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed South America Rejects | 45c | 10,920$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked South America Rejects | 18c | 10,791$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,890.02 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed South America Rejects | 46c | 9,590$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.82 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Heroic | 48c | 8,774$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.01 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic | 52c | 8,773$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.81 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed South America Rejects | 49c | 8,666$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.54 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Heroic | 59c | 8,211$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.22 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heroic | 51c | 7,605$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.36 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed South America Rejects | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.83 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 7,442$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.64 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects | 31c | 6,951$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Heroic | 61c | 6,888$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.81 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed South America Rejects | 46c | 6,859$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.1 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Heroic | 60c | 6,719$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.46 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects | 48c | 6,533$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.66 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.94 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 5,974$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.75 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects | 31c | 5,638$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects | 47c | 5,470$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.82 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 54c | 5,246$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.81 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed South America Rejects | 32c | 4,785$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.84 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 48c | 4,747$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.4 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heroic | 80c | 4,582$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.07 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Heroic | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed South America Rejects | 45c | 4,493$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.48 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects | 33c | 4,180$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed South America Rejects | 49c | 3,907$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.86 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects | 50c | 3,893$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.14 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked South America Rejects | 51c | 3,348$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.88 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 40c | 3,327$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed South America Rejects | 55c | 3,242$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.16 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 56c | 3,234$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.11 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Heroic | 56c | 3,175$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.72 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Heroic | 62c | 3,150$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.46 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Heroic | 52c | 3,013$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.85 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…4aa4backed South America Rejects | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 2,954$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.39 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Heroic | 52c | 2,666$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.32 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed South America Rejects | 66c | 2,491$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.28 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic | 2c | 2,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 2,097$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.15 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed South America Rejects | 19c | 2,054$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.26 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed South America Rejects | 47c | 2,054$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.32 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed South America Rejects | 33c | 2,000$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.34 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Heroic | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked South America Rejects | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…4cfabacked Heroic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,980$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.18 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Heroic | 53c | 1,931$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.11 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 60c | 1,895$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.38 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic | 65c | 1,893$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.16 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Heroic | 55c | 1,759$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.08 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 79c | 1,753$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.48 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Heroic | 80c | 1,657$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.05 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed South America Rejects | 38c | 1,645$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.44 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 42c | 1,580$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.59 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Heroic | 55c | 1,578$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed South America Rejects | 50c | 1,564$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.64 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heroic | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.84 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 52c | 1,399$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.71 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,337$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.29 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Heroic | 49c | 1,324$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.17 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects | 47c | 1,309$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.35 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,215$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.83 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 66c | 1,115$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.89 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Heroic | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.01 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…0e79backed South America Rejects | 44c | 1,019$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects | 48c | 1,017$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.22 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Heroic | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Heroic | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Heroic | 77c | 996.37$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.58 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Heroic | 56c | 950.22$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.12 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed South America Rejects | 43c | 948.22$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.16 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Heroic | 54c | 810.33$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed South America Rejects | 45c | 803.1$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.71 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Heroic | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects | 48c | 777.69$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.39 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 56c | 767.41$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.79 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Heroic | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…7e75backed Heroic | 57c | 741.76$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Heroic | 53c | 729.77$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.78 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 52c | 728.4$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.77 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 47c | 694.16$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.45 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed South America Rejects | 44c | 648.9$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 647.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Heroic | 63c | 623.2$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.09 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Yes won
- Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.