Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c0924057e97519634f6ee8fe93ec0fd712a582cd4a141c868cbe14082b7296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 52c | 39,467$20,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,334.03 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 49c | 14,464$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,366.72 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 9,997$5,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.98 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed MOUZ | 73c | 9,551$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.11 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 49c | 6,715$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 52c | 6,690$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.91 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 5,041$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.36 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 54c | 4,307$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.83 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed MOUZ | 45c | 4,233$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 36c | 4,013$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.95 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 31c | 3,979$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.4 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 58c | 3,563$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.5 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Liquid | 46c | 3,358$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.57 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 3,229$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.73 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 69c | 3,084$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.94 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,893$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.72 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 57c | 2,152$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.13 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Liquid | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,746$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.63 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,731$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.32 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,530$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.64 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,495$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.93 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,324$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.67 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,310$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,249$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.99 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,233$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.9 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,170$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.12 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,051$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.4 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Liquid | 65c | 979$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.35 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed MOUZ | 69c | 939.27$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.63 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed MOUZ | 63c | 906$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.93 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 55c | 903.07$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.12 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 58c | 799.02$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.74 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 62c | 787.68$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 777.66$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.58 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 698.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 32c | 662.23$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 2c | 658.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 638.37$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Liquid | 34c | 627.81$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 54c | 599.19$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed MOUZ | 40c | 593.66$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 588.77$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 47c | 582.11$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Liquid | 51c | 568.2$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed MOUZ | 69c | 553.33$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 62c | 495.22$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Liquid | 19c | 480.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed MOUZ | 79c | 430.29$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 80c | 408.43$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Team Liquid | 68c | 391.86$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked MOUZ | 40c | 370.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Team Liquid | 53c | 365.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.49 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 62c | 356.84$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 356.84$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked MOUZ | 51c | 354.28$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 335.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed MOUZ | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed MOUZ | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 10c | 305.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 64c | 302.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked MOUZ | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed MOUZ | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Liquid | 68c | 286.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 54c | 286.37$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 58c | 284.65$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Team Liquid | 8c | 283.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 37c | 270.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 38c | 246$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Liquid | 62c | 244.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 35c | 238.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Liquid | 19c | 228.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 35c | 214.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked MOUZ | 56c | 208.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…fc86backed Team Liquid | 31c | 208.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 68c | 204.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Liquid | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed MOUZ | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Liquid | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 37c | 182.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 176.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…d035backed MOUZ | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MOUZ | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed MOUZ | 50c | 160.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Team Liquid | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Team Liquid | 15c | 156.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…8029backed MOUZ | 57c | 155.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Liquid | 26c | 152$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Liquid | 66c | 148.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 141.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed MOUZ | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 56c | 125.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Liquid | 32c | 123$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.