Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d1efbd96e74ed343e75239de188a7d0ba4dc66c2b3d0b192c70472467bc6a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 27c | 16,371$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 40c | 11,708$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.76 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 20c | 9,653$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.67 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Team Liquid | 42c | 5,423$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 5,090$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.96 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 11c | 4,832$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.76 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 66c | 4,428$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.56 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 4,328$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.51 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 69c | 3,694$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.1 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed MOUZ | 14c | 2,918$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.68 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed MOUZ | 28c | 2,906$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,888$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 33c | 2,750$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,716$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.44 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 56c | 2,554$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,482$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.07 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 27c | 2,468$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.44 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 38c | 2,409$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Liquid | 65c | 2,350$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.15 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 2,333$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.86 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,998$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.43 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,992$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.36 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,963$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.08 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,838$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.96 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…90dfbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,772$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.02 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,700$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.83 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,689$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,596$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.73 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,485$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.02 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,420$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.15 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,416$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.19 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,339$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,324$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,317$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.7 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,307$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,262$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.59 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,237$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.65 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,226$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,198$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.8 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,188$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,167$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.65 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,091$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.76 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,087$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,020$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 36c | 999.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 6c | 949.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 62c | 942.8$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.75 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed MOUZ | 62c | 928.19$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed MOUZ | 29c | 914$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.7 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 47c | 868.68$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.92 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 50c | 842.74$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.39 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 47c | 810.67$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 60c | 807.95$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.77 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked MOUZ | 57c | 791.08$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Liquid | 67c | 770.31$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed MOUZ | 30c | 739.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.49 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 69c | 704.66$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed MOUZ | 50c | 697.17$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.36 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…9be5backed Team Liquid | 67c | 692.69$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ | 38c | 621.11$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.72 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Liquid | 65c | 611.05$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Team Liquid | 71c | 563.07$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…0c2abacked Team Liquid | 54c | 553.95$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 552.15$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed MOUZ | 33c | 550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked MOUZ | 59c | 529.64$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MOUZ | 36c | 527.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 15c | 525.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MOUZ | 59c | 512.5$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.37 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Liquid | 69c | 511.96$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 37c | 506.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 33c | 500.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed MOUZ | 41c | 465.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Liquid | 42c | 463.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.55 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Liquid | 61c | 439.39$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team Liquid | 73c | 434.34$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked MOUZ | 58c | 401.57$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 388.56$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked MOUZ | 33c | 383.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Team Liquid | 79c | 360.29$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 64c | 355.59$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…3ca2backed MOUZ | 8c | 354.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 352.78$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Liquid | 42c | 342.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 339.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 55c | 338.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Team Liquid | 35c | 336.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed MOUZ | 14c | 330.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed MOUZ | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked MOUZ | 35c | 326.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 323.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Liquid | 64c | 306.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.94 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MOUZ | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 297.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed MOUZ | 24c | 294.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.