Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62818fdc07944c2d7fb39bd03dd2a031d2bd02f51debbb3ac05bdf8a286758f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 42c | 22,497$9,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,391.26 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 59c | 18,385$10,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,557.22 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 38c | 5,930$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.18 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 3,781$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.4 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 39c | 3,718$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.96 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 3,698$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.96 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 20c | 3,042$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.49 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 53c | 2,941$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.31 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,836$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.96 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,800$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.85 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed MOUZ | 42c | 2,475$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.43 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,301$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.37 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,912$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.19 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,702$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.93 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 14c | 1,511$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,456$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.3 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 1,281$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.07 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,254$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,216$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.64 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,070$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.57 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.95 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed MOUZ | 10c | 1,032$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed MOUZ | 32c | 1,018$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 984.78$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 7c | 949.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Team Liquid | 59c | 929.12$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.46 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed MOUZ | 43c | 788.95$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 783.19$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 30c | 766.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.26 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 60c | 749.98$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 18c | 689.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 57c | 674.33$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.49 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 36c | 667.61$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Liquid | 63c | 620.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 582.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 570.04$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 36c | 565.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 548.3$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 545.9$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 505.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.47 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 59c | 499.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid | 58c | 493.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 38c | 478.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 49c | 468.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 57c | 464.13$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 20c | 455.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 445.2$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 438.87$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed MOUZ | 10c | 399.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 35c | 376.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 39c | 366.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 42c | 322.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.12 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Team Liquid | 79c | 315.3$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid | 56c | 302.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 24c | 296.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 74c | 295.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed MOUZ | 43c | 291.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 285.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 285.07$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 22c | 263.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 61c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Liquid | 58c | 243.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 58c | 235.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked MOUZ | 29c | 234.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed MOUZ | 34c | 219.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 22c | 219.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 210.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed MOUZ | 42c | 196.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked MOUZ | 23c | 193.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 51c | 184.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 45c | 182.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…2412backed MOUZ | 49c | 179.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 31c | 168.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MOUZ | 43c | 167.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 38c | 162.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked MOUZ | 49c | 162.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid | 68c | 159.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 152.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MOUZ | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ | 38c | 143.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed MOUZ | 38c | 127.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed MOUZ | 49c | 118.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…80f2backed Team Liquid | 77c | 114.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid | 62c | 113.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 102.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked MOUZ | 37c | 97.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked MOUZ | 23c | 97.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked MOUZ | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 95.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 28c | 90.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Liquid | 55c | 86.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Liquid | 70c | 82.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Liquid | 60c | 80.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Liquid | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.