Kai Havertz: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9fc93ebdddaa892579cbf0462bcd42aad9d94458bdbf4be803340db7d5855f5

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d39…c90abacked Yes	1c	10,000$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.13	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+624.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	67c	2,688$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.65	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	27c	2,216$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.24	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	67c	2,107$1,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.8	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…5b29backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.97	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	66c	1,931$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.5	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	65c	1,771$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.59	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No	69c	1,753$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.48	161	65.8%106 W · 55 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked No	68c	1,658$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.87	210	51%107 W · 103 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes	34c	1,472$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.58	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes	36c	1,192$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes	31c	1,158$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.05	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	71c	1,098$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.04	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8569…393dbacked Yes	36c	1,047$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.9	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes	29c	1,027$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes	32c	999.98$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	62c	994.67$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.97	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	64c	980.93$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.13	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes	34c	832.68$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	19c	793.22$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.71	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Yes	32c	609.53$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.05	112	39.3%44 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	33c	599.93$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.98	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x103d…b34ebacked Yes	25c	588$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	65c	574.99$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.79	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes	34c	569.23$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.15	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No	70c	554$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.2	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	68c	512.09$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.81	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed No	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes	32c	478.32$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.06	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	36c	449.06$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.53	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yes	46c	435.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	39.4%41 W · 63 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Yes	38c	392.96$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	27c	375.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	34c	335.91$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.75	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	51c	311.88$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.02	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	69c	301.75$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.16	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	62	69.4%43 W · 19 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	67c	299.99$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.37	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	27.2%34 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	64c	265.99$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.76	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb69b…e7a8backed Yes	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-7.0wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes	33c	250$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	33c	250$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b3…f2e1backed Yes	29c	214.8$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.13	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	35c	214.29$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No	63c	201.54$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.57	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	67c	199.98$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed No	69c	187.65$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.7	82	64.6%53 W · 29 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed No	70c	181.67$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.41	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes	36c	172.22$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes	27c	165$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.55	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Yes	37c	160$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No	63c	150$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.5	151	77.5%117 W · 34 L	+13.1wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x877b…4f25backed Yes	34c	148.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66aa…3ebebacked Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes	34c	142.79$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.55	190	31.6%60 W · 130 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed No	71c	138.21$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.08	224	66.1%148 W · 76 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x989f…989fbacked Yes	27c	132$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.64	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes	36c	130.56$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	33c	113.89$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.58	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed No	79c	112$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.58	157	45.9%72 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	38c	104.68$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x554e…cd79backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	157	27.4%43 W · 114 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	61c	99.02$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	35c	98.57$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No	61c	98.39$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.38	238	58%138 W · 100 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes	38c	93.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.11	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes	33c	91.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	65c	84.78$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.32	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe551…f188backed Yes	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a8…2a71backed No	67c	82.84$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.34	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6a…61a5backed Yes	36c	82.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes	38c	78.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d8…0a00backed Yes	38c	70.79$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.18	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes	36c	69.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes	36c	66.67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	66c	66.34$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7fc…1a65backed Yes	33c	65.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Yes	37c	64.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa458…24dfbacked Yes	31c	63.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Yes	38c	63.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes	65c	61.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1862…36bcbacked Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…fdb6backed Yes	36c	56.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	64c	55.88$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kai Havertz: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event