Enner Valencia: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76baea196b1ac0c4ae9f462b696253790d58868645f66707864d185c05413b3

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,990 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafac…8730backed Yes	28c	703.2$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	71c	492.74$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.89	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No	77c	371.49$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.44	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	74c	364.14$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.26	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2952…f50dbacked Yes	28c	361.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-38%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes	25c	322.84$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.71	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	72c	236.61$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.25	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	25c	182.52$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.63	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	79c	156.82$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.64	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	27c	150$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	75c	134.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.3	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	73c	107$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No	74c	104.5$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.17	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450d…b4edbacked Yes	24c	103.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.68	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	73c	82$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.14	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5085…0de9backed Yes	25c	78.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-37%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbed8…b6cebacked Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Yes	27c	66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	26c	53.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe673…b3d9backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	75c	39.24$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	72c	38.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.88	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	78c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	75c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	76c	20.83$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed No	76c	19.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	133	64.7%86 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Enner Valencia: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event