TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity62c22,000$13,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,359.9715457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed L1ga Team38c8,077$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.35549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Zero Tenacity37c4,030$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.7323653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked L1ga Team40c3,776$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.044734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked L1ga Team38c3,559$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.569650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed L1ga Team63c2,434$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.464751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team38c1,714$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.4445750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity49c1,365$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.561,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed L1ga Team38c1,049$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7912454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed L1ga Team38c760.11$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8434051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Zero Tenacity38c714.11$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.755639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team69c710.86$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7136654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed L1ga Team38c676.49$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.074235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed L1ga Team38c603.02$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1518954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed L1ga Team54c583.44$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0620642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed L1ga Team38c581.84$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.17856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2b…19a4backed L1ga Team37c544.38$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.574211.9%5 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-71.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed L1ga Team65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team31c454.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team57c451$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0756243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed L1ga Team62c415.97$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.94639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked L1ga Team62c410.67$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.621560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked L1ga Team63c399.92$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.953141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed L1ga Team63c388.02$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.453928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team70c353.22$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8191356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed L1ga Team63c346.14$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.075850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked L1ga Team33c339.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8685851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed L1ga Team63c329.52$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.598934.8%31 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity35c308.52$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7446240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team56c295$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.351,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Zero Tenacity35c288.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.49341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team38c279.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.82,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked L1ga Team38c274.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked L1ga Team62c270.48$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.714641.8%61 W · 85 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Zero Tenacity62c263.71$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1347046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team35c249.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8436138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Zero Tenacity63c221.85$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked L1ga Team37c216.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2913850%69 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team12c215.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4647650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Zero Tenacity36c210$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.46936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team30c204.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.52,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Zero Tenacity37c200.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.331650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity57c198.08$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.331,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked L1ga Team42c172.84$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.235354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked L1ga Team62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7213148.1%63 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed L1ga Team63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7819162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed L1ga Team38c139.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1551550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Zero Tenacity38c129.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1925348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked L1ga Team65c120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.47255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity32c119.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5329240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Zero Tenacity62c110.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8913152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked L1ga Team10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed L1ga Team38c96.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Zero Tenacity63c96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.529444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked L1ga Team32c89.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2810751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed L1ga Team62c86.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.751225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity61c86.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7870052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Zero Tenacity45c85.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2811652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity63c82.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Zero Tenacity80c82.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.484985.7%42 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Zero Tenacity36c81.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5711949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3adf…9c7bbacked Zero Tenacity75c81.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Zero Tenacity25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6036044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Zero Tenacity63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.626154.8%143 W · 118 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Zero Tenacity68c79.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.624641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity58c78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team15c73.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Zero Tenacity25c73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7516837.5%63 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed L1ga Team63c70.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.393050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked L1ga Team38c64.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3976048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea9…b90dbacked Zero Tenacity63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Zero Tenacity63c61.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7110571.4%75 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed L1ga Team41c61.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3126050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked L1ga Team42c59.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.231,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93aa…6ac0backed L1ga Team37c59.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.134438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity25c59.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8269033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Zero Tenacity75c59.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7744474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Zero Tenacity27c56.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.365841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Zero Tenacity46c56.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3144645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity54c55.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.311,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d11…7ababacked L1ga Team38c52.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked Zero Tenacity58c51.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.765246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Zero Tenacity47c48.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5630647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Zero Tenacity41c46.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.378420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked L1ga Team38c39.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0822538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked L1ga Team63c39.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6421253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked L1ga Team31c36.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked L1ga Team37c33.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4964123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed L1ga Team33c33.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9319156%107 W · 84 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…108dbacked L1ga Team67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed L1ga Team62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.797142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdadd…5721backed L1ga Team38c27.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.591540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x326f…1a19backed L1ga Team72c27.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.667456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed L1ga Team66c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1616456.7%93 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.