TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Zero Tenacity37c5,797$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.2445750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Zero Tenacity56c3,597$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.0247046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team72c3,461$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.3147650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team38c2,921$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.9771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Zero Tenacity55c1,942$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.8839042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed L1ga Team64c1,830$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.486160.7%37 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x568c…fbd0backed L1ga Team64c1,733$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.271163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team65c1,500$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.1536654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Zero Tenacity36c1,189$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.6856852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity32c1,095$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.521,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Zero Tenacity36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity40c775.29$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.861,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Zero Tenacity57c487.07$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9725935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity40c469.45$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4667043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Zero Tenacity65c432$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.074261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked L1ga Team5c377.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8627143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Zero Tenacity74c340.5$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1715064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4414…9474backed L1ga Team62c329.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.586950.7%35 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Zero Tenacity70c288.58$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5717454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team65c279.96$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4486659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team63c260.49$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1736759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team63c244.43$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5991356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity48c239.61$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.472,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed L1ga Team44c237$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5622552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity34c236.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.541,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team69c234.31$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.896245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked L1ga Team64c223.75$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.955251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked L1ga Team41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Zero Tenacity36c186.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4577256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team47c176$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed L1ga Team61c166.01$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0229466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Zero Tenacity34c162.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0430534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Zero Tenacity45c157.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.228868.2%60 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed L1ga Team45c154$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5350247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed L1ga Team41c148.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9116250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82c…25afbacked L1ga Team70c140.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked L1ga Team44c139$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.635032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity40c133.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.271,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93aa…6ac0backed Zero Tenacity37c131.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.24438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed L1ga Team47c131.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8816837.5%63 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked L1ga Team41c128$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.487255.6%40 W · 32 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team49c119$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2a…b7b5backed Zero Tenacity76c115.49$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.576162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Zero Tenacity79c108$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.689964.6%64 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58be…e6d7backed Zero Tenacity36c106.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+111.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Zero Tenacity38c102.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.532466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed L1ga Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416960.9%42 W · 27 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Zero Tenacity38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6266848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed L1ga Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4116453.7%88 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed L1ga Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4125351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked L1ga Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418253.7%44 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed L1ga Team45c92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.536044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team13c77.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0929240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed L1ga Team63c76.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.677268.1%49 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Zero Tenacity42c74.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.430647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity47c65.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.951,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed L1ga Team41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2418248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed L1ga Team41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2420448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed L1ga Team41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2430250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed L1ga Team41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2412651.6%65 W · 61 L+14.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Zero Tenacity37c63.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9813152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Zero Tenacity36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.458250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed L1ga Team63c58.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.165056%28 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed L1ga Team23c58.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1454753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team26c56.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked L1ga Team39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Zero Tenacity77c48.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.125457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team34c48.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.320858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked L1ga Team37c48.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.864123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed L1ga Team61c44.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.44641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f7b…f9eabacked L1ga Team36c40.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity43c40.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked L1ga Team67c40.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2819951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity44c38.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.561,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Zero Tenacity41c36.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8631644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed L1ga Team60c36.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1527357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team28c36.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3324518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Zero Tenacity36c35.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.647448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed L1ga Team41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1221748.8%106 W · 111 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked L1ga Team63c31.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5676048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked L1ga Team63c31.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5636761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed L1ga Team44c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.735430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity37c28.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.791,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity45c27.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.152,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df8…6dd8backed Zero Tenacity38c27.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Zero Tenacity71c22.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5712255.7%68 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Zero Tenacity74c14.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.843063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.