TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x326f…1a19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT7456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$9.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$67.94
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.06
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$14.31
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.69
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Two Move · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Two Move · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$57.28
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.16
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.91
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.32
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Seasonbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$12.51
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+76.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.11
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$26.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$119.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.