Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc907745b09b10a07dfee63b035f299e5a644a3ff153dcad66f5b3d1a7c1b000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 189,051$84,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,049.03 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 56c | 174,437$97,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,015.32 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed PlayTime | 55c | 32,736$18,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,730.97 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 23,211$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.72 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PlayTime | 60c | 4,872$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.67 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 3,701$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.87 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 2,785$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,864$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.29 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PlayTime | 56c | 1,778$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.81 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…86b0backed PlayTime | 57c | 1,748$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,467$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.71 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed PlayTime | 63c | 1,387$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.03 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,379$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,370$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.66 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,129$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 73c | 1,125$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,093$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.18 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 71c | 1,047$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,023$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 74c | 986.14$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 955.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 59c | 899.99$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed PlayTime | 63c | 776.45$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 772.78$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.29 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 752.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 716.87$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.41 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 67c | 639.24$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 72c | 559.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PlayTime | 60c | 552.55$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PlayTime | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 538.68$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 403.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed PlayTime | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 340.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 309.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PlayTime | 77c | 300.15$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 269.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked PlayTime | 67c | 262.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 252.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed PlayTime | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PlayTime | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked PlayTime | 70c | 228$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 63c | 223.46$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed PlayTime | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked PlayTime | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed PlayTime | 57c | 195$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 194.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 175.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed PlayTime | 52c | 171.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed PlayTime | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 63c | 150.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked PlayTime | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 146.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed PlayTime | 67c | 146.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed PlayTime | 57c | 132.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 122.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PlayTime | 59c | 120.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 117$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PlayTime | 59c | 114$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 112.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 59c | 110.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 107.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 107$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked PlayTime | 57c | 106.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 61c | 106.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 69c | 104.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked PlayTime | 59c | 104$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 101.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed PlayTime | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed PlayTime | 59c | 98.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 96.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked PlayTime | 46c | 94.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed PlayTime | 59c | 87.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…bfbfbacked PlayTime | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed PlayTime | 70c | 86.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 82.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed PlayTime | 59c | 79.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed PlayTime | 53c | 79.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 77.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 76.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 73.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked PlayTime | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed PlayTime | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed PlayTime | 69c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked PlayTime | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…1b5fbacked PlayTime | 74c | 69.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 68.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.