Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aae120096eed1876d8eeae68916664e70567c67665173da14b1b269e27af7a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 17,449$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.77 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 58c | 17,365$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,265.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 65c | 10,250$6,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.74 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 57c | 7,395$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.44 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 68c | 6,179$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.97 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,991$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.1 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 57c | 5,965$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.49 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 4,898$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.93 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 4,763$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.04 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 60c | 4,143$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.33 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,757$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.38 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 3,389$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.2 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 3,376$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.67 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 3,187$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.17 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 3,001$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.5 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 2,597$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed PlayTime | 76c | 2,401$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.81 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,164$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 2,010$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.26 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PlayTime | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PlayTime | 56c | 1,796$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.8 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,705$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,699$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.57 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 1,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,487$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.6 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,479$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.55 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PlayTime | 64c | 1,464$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.84 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked PlayTime | 78c | 1,387$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.42 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 58c | 1,335$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.82 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 62c | 1,295$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.38 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,288$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 1,253$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,199$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.4 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,160$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.09 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,144$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.06 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,092$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.42 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,036$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.34 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PlayTime | 76c | 1,018$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.66 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed PlayTime | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 948.74$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 61c | 939.46$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.58 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 931.28$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.28 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 799.68$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PlayTime | 71c | 777.53$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 740$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 60c | 720.68$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.76 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 707.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.53 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 640.01$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 640$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 62c | 635.29$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.31 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PlayTime | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 576.71$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 563$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 518.37$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked PlayTime | 58c | 503.83$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.52 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PlayTime | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed PlayTime | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed PlayTime | 60c | 496.51$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 476.34$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 473$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 408.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 369.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed PlayTime | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 329.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed PlayTime | 51c | 329.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 319$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.37 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PlayTime | 66c | 314$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 308$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 304.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PlayTime | 73c | 272.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 245.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 58c | 231.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked PlayTime | 75c | 226.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked PlayTime | 69c | 224.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 210.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 201.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed PlayTime | 57c | 197.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 194.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 193$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…3c44backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 183$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 168$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 162.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 160.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed PlayTime | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PlayTime | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed PlayTime | 65c | 146.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed PlayTime | 79c | 140.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 139.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…cd32backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 135.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.