Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed3d63814f01534e69ff37d5dbf7a16c73587ab60bae545501e4c026c0ba829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 54c | 22,526$12,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,266.37 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 12,046$5,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538.2 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 58c | 8,364$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.86 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 6,335$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 4,300$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.35 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,875$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.02 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,784$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PlayTime | 56c | 2,680$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.57 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PlayTime | 60c | 2,217$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.74 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,938$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.94 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked PlayTime | 49c | 1,843$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 1,815$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.65 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,691$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.41 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,658$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.65 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,616$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.47 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,531$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.69 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,439$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.42 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,365$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,142$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.31 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 1,139$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,090$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.3 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,086$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,049$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 965.91$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 73c | 941.18$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 914.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 900$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.09 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PlayTime | 54c | 890.34$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PlayTime | 78c | 882.19$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 771.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 765.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed PlayTime | 55c | 755$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.75 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 711.04$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 696.04$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 647.55$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 600$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PlayTime | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PlayTime | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 492.89$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 445$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 70c | 438.52$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 426.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 63c | 416.63$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 410.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked PlayTime | 58c | 398$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…a00cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 375.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime | 53c | 372.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 68c | 368.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 365.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 67c | 363.71$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 65c | 362.44$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 69c | 350.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 340.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked PlayTime | 62c | 324$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 318.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed PlayTime | 49c | 308$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 303.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 301$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed PlayTime | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed PlayTime | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked PlayTime | 54c | 299.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked PlayTime | 59c | 299.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 285.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 248.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 61c | 238.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PlayTime | 68c | 230$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 207.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 76c | 200.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed PlayTime | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked PlayTime | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed PlayTime | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed PlayTime | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed PlayTime | 49c | 185$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 178.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked PlayTime | 77c | 162.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed PlayTime | 56c | 159.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed PlayTime | 49c | 154$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed PlayTime | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PlayTime | 56c | 151.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 124$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 57c | 123.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 115.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked PlayTime | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed PlayTime | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed PlayTime | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed PlayTime | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…efabbacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.