Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087136e71cbb6097677f8c904d2a8ac81232790b85ca81a72e4715c4ac7c71f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Zero Tenacity, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed L1ga Team | 57c | 3,674$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.69 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 1,850$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 1,040$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.27 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…7cbebacked Zero Tenacity | 3c | 805.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 69c | 658.48$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zero Tenacity | 3c | 543.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 285$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…4520backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 256.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 243.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 243.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed L1ga Team | 53c | 221.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…2c38backed L1ga Team | 59c | 201.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 138.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed L1ga Team | 56c | 138.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team | 64c | 131.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 66c | 124.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 79c | 110.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed L1ga Team | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed L1ga Team | 54c | 75.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed L1ga Team | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 59.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 57.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 53.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed L1ga Team | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed L1ga Team | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed L1ga Team | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 45.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 38.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed L1ga Team | 74c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…7b60backed L1ga Team | 55c | 28.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…4679backed L1ga Team | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…21ddbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked L1ga Team | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 49 | 85.7%42 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.