Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486269318292bfb37443ce79e6f248aa2a4b82a5e915960b6169aa5a0ce16c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Zero Tenacity, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed L1ga Team | 58c | 14,302$8,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.29 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 8,912$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.09 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 8,504$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.33 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 7,258$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.04 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed L1ga Team | 55c | 3,783$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.88 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 3,086$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.6 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 2,952$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.4 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 2,040$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.79 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 1,970$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 34c | 1,600$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 1,532$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team | 45c | 1,162$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked L1ga Team | 45c | 1,127$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.67 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 64c | 1,067$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.96 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 1,004$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.77 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 996$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.64 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed L1ga Team | 44c | 673.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.95 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed L1ga Team | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 641.45$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.57 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 626.37$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 530.47$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed L1ga Team | 62c | 487.7$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed L1ga Team | 45c | 407$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 400.58$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team | 45c | 390$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed L1ga Team | 70c | 388.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed L1ga Team | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed L1ga Team | 44c | 341.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 303.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 298.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 63c | 286.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 67c | 275$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 272.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 245.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 240.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.18 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 239.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 60c | 229$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…3836backed L1ga Team | 77c | 226$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 216$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 45c | 186.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed L1ga Team | 47c | 185.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed L1ga Team | 46c | 144$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 135.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 134.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed L1ga Team | 43c | 112.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed L1ga Team | 49c | 112.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed L1ga Team | 42c | 107.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked L1ga Team | 62c | 107.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed L1ga Team | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 92.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked L1ga Team | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed L1ga Team | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 63.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed L1ga Team | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 58.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 51.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 44.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed L1ga Team | 63c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 30.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45a…854bbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 25.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.