CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ca6a656a59cbebe668ee7908b2a88882f28d24e10bc4e2a3c9c6a04360681e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, OLDBOYS-
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x013d…0574backed OLDBOYS- | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked OLDBOYS- | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked OLDBOYS- | 1c | 2,179$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lavked | 57c | 2,116$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.86 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Lavked | 57c | 2,058$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed OLDBOYS- | 43c | 1,905$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.74 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed OLDBOYS- | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked OLDBOYS- | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked OLDBOYS- | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Lavked | 57c | 1,210$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked OLDBOYS- | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed OLDBOYS- | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed OLDBOYS- | 1c | 850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked OLDBOYS- | 12c | 493.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OLDBOYS- | 42c | 482.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Lavked | 55c | 444.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked OLDBOYS- | 46c | 439.03$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 56c | 438.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed OLDBOYS- | 42c | 313.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 78c | 312.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Lavked | 57c | 272.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Lavked | 59c | 264.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed OLDBOYS- | 11c | 221.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed OLDBOYS- | 6c | 201.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Lavked | 55c | 198.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Lavked | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Lavked | 51c | 185.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OLDBOYS- | 25c | 176.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed OLDBOYS- | 18c | 173.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OLDBOYS- | 30c | 157.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked OLDBOYS- | 44c | 147$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed OLDBOYS- | 41c | 143$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Lavked | 52c | 130.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Lavked | 55c | 116.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed OLDBOYS- | 40c | 114.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…5901backed Lavked | 72c | 111.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OLDBOYS- | 12c | 109.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed OLDBOYS- | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lavked | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Lavked | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked OLDBOYS- | 45c | 98.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Lavked | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked OLDBOYS- | 46c | 63.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked OLDBOYS- | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed OLDBOYS- | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lavked | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OLDBOYS- | 19c | 55.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lavked | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed OLDBOYS- | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OLDBOYS- | 29c | 44.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed OLDBOYS- | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 57c | 32.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked OLDBOYS- | 44c | 31.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked OLDBOYS- | 42c | 31.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed OLDBOYS- | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed OLDBOYS- | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Lavked | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed Lavked | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed OLDBOYS- | 42c | 25.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked OLDBOYS- | 42c | 24.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…5045backed Lavked | 64c | 24.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Lavked | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Lavked | 79c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.