CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0bc6b244b513eb391fceb55d318e15e6f6b39579b5bb6065c67a81abca0b74a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, OLDBOYS-
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Lavked | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OLDBOYS- | 47c | 1,023$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 42c | 752.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.27 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OLDBOYS- | 46c | 743.94$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lavked | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OLDBOYS- | 40c | 398.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 41c | 395.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed OLDBOYS- | 76c | 356.28$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Lavked | 60c | 309.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked OLDBOYS- | 41c | 288.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked OLDBOYS- | 45c | 218.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed Lavked | 52c | 129.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Lavked | 55c | 124.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed OLDBOYS- | 74c | 105.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked OLDBOYS- | 40c | 104.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Lavked | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OLDBOYS- | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Lavked | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed OLDBOYS- | 43c | 79.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed OLDBOYS- | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 58c | 48.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 32c | 46.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed OLDBOYS- | 43c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 55c | 24.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OLDBOYS- | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OLDBOYS- - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.