TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION74c19,235$14,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,939.342,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed REKONIX30c16,231$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,940.0971342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX5c14,134$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.861,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed REKONIX23c12,586$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.2971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX25c8,500$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.1880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked REKONIX13c7,236$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94412630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX14c6,988$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9869835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION79c6,000$4,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.224153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION76c5,547$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.7456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION76c5,500$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.634544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked REKONIX21c5,305$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.62948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX18c3,633$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION75c2,751$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.5829348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION74c2,751$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7841351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION77c2,484$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.791,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION78c2,455$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.113851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed REKONIX15c1,961$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.230357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed PARIVISION79c1,896$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4534468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked REKONIX6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002015%3 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX20c1,588$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3596645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed REKONIX12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed REKONIX16c1,500$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24129143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX13c1,400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked REKONIX23c1,212$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX25c1,184$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5661456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed REKONIX11c1,134$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.112054.2%65 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed REKONIX21c1,031$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4120740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked REKONIX10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006031.7%19 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked REKONIX22c964.71$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5213157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed REKONIX21c961.87$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.957742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION79c952.68$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX18c949$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.861,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX9c928.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5637223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked REKONIX16c917.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION78c896$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1235151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked REKONIX10c894.03$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.410618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed PARIVISION79c870$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4129466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION80c840$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.768469%58 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed REKONIX21c826.58$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.587040%28 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed REKONIX22c770$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.430336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed REKONIX26c758.53$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.675850%29 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX15c745.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11072035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX2c694.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.836132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b97…5521backed REKONIX15c609.72$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.482524%6 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION75c603.77$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0929042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION76c544.35$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.031,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed REKONIX27c520.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4372154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX11c519.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.253758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed REKONIX20c513.3$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed REKONIX9c500.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0112536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked REKONIX21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.556542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed REKONIX21c500$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.520145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX21c499.6$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10661449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed REKONIX21c466.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6957735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed REKONIX27c460.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b5…a3b5backed REKONIX23c444.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010934.9%38 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION71c439$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5489938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed REKONIX11c362.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa377…2b3bbacked REKONIX5c342.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed PARIVISION79c339.91$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.858356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed PARIVISION78c336$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0241050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed REKONIX9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX14c314.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.831,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd515…14febacked REKONIX8c298.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.93560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked REKONIX20c294.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.819057.8%52 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX20c278$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2958250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed REKONIX21c273.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9616147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…ed01backed REKONIX8c272.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION79c256.19$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6188166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc281…e079backed PARIVISION78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked PARIVISION80c249.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2554058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked REKONIX10c249.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked PARIVISION78c243.34$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.26887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf062…0257backed REKONIX7c226.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed PARIVISION79c222.75$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7813551.9%70 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked PARIVISION78c219.43$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4139550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2479341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed REKONIX7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.853634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c3…90fcbacked PARIVISION79c186.09$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.151080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX21c165.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3957654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX25c154.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0916242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked REKONIX20c150.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX12c150.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.741,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaac…958bbacked REKONIX12c147.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX15c140.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked REKONIX13c140$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.063050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked REKONIX15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.865848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed REKONIX14c131.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0520738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed PARIVISION79c126.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8913975.5%105 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX21c124.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed REKONIX23c120.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2839042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed REKONIX11c108.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked REKONIX14c105.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked REKONIX25c101.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed REKONIX21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9516839.9%67 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed REKONIX15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8379343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked PARIVISION75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.617054.7%93 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed REKONIX23c96.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.