Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f03b15912f7d058dec477550c182b62bfe93e51d6f1168e9db90896b396dc44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 10,729$8,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.26 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked REKONIX | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 18c | 7,092$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 19c | 6,990$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.05 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked REKONIX | 21c | 6,643$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.13 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed REKONIX | 19c | 4,578$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.77 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 64c | 4,476$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.66 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 66c | 4,205$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 47c | 3,796$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 3,410$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.74 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 57c | 3,043$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.45 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked REKONIX | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.98 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX | 23c | 2,842$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.26 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 2,837$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.72 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 71c | 2,734$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.65 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,577$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.14 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 56c | 2,005$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 48c | 1,727$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.44 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 20c | 1,643$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 32c | 1,627$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.49 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,513$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.52 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.12 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 31c | 1,328$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,319$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 30c | 1,297$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.62 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,200$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,073$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.38 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed REKONIX | 18c | 1,058$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,057$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.82 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked REKONIX | 23c | 1,050$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.02 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,015$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 16c | 999.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 36c | 997.08$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.29 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 993.55$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.31 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 887.9$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 79c | 749.99$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed REKONIX | 21c | 714.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked REKONIX | 39c | 673.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 635$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked REKONIX | 20c | 622.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed PARIVISION | 80c | 619.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 25c | 600$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PARIVISION | 47c | 596.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.09 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 20c | 584.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 558.64$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked REKONIX | 20c | 467.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed REKONIX | 35c | 435$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 34c | 409$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PARIVISION | 49c | 402.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 31c | 371.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION | 77c | 339.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION | 74c | 327.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 31c | 327.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX | 32c | 308.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked REKONIX | 42c | 297.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 285.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PARIVISION | 60c | 283$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed PARIVISION | 52c | 270.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed REKONIX | 19c | 264.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PARIVISION | 69c | 255.6$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 40c | 236.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 20c | 224$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX | 16c | 221.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 80c | 217.06$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 213.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 14c | 211.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed REKONIX | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PARIVISION | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked REKONIX | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 42c | 194.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed PARIVISION | 78c | 191.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REKONIX | 45c | 183.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 178.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 25c | 172.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 68c | 169$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked REKONIX | 43c | 159.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed REKONIX | 53c | 138$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed REKONIX | 25c | 136.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed REKONIX | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX | 48c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed REKONIX | 21c | 120.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked REKONIX | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked REKONIX | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked PARIVISION | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked REKONIX | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked REKONIX | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed REKONIX | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.