Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd30c85609c9d7168fb5ee0d79db953f298a235e30c6b2d1e7a357237609792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof PARIVISION, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb234…1c20backed REKONIX | 16c | 11,880$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,979.18 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked REKONIX | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 23c | 3,893$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.27 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed REKONIX | 50c | 3,612$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.29 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,790$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 9c | 1,683$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.45 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 13c | 1,632$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 21c | 1,229$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.9 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 16c | 1,203$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.86 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed REKONIX | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 76c | 990.82$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.72 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed REKONIX | 9c | 723.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.23 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 30c | 469.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked REKONIX | 48c | 466.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.03 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed PARIVISION | 70c | 448.52$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 5c | 425.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.8 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 72c | 417.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed REKONIX | 34c | 401.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.09 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 51c | 373.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d567backed REKONIX | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 19c | 352$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.85 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…0257backed REKONIX | 10c | 270.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.56 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 9c | 256.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked REKONIX | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 16c | 240$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 9c | 224.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 16c | 222$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed PARIVISION | 55c | 221.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PARIVISION | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked REKONIX | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION | 67c | 167.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 166.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION | 41c | 162.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed REKONIX | 28c | 162.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.86 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed REKONIX | 8c | 157$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed PARIVISION | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION | 58c | 153$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 21c | 150.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed REKONIX | 16c | 146.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed PARIVISION | 42c | 141$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 17c | 140.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed REKONIX | 13c | 140$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked REKONIX | 17c | 139.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed REKONIX | 8c | 130$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX | 17c | 126.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…c97abacked REKONIX | 29c | 122.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PARIVISION | 78c | 121.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed REKONIX | 49c | 113.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REKONIX | 37c | 104$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 101.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed REKONIX | 18c | 89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…ed01backed REKONIX | 12c | 81.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 44c | 76.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked PARIVISION | 56c | 76.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed REKONIX | 14c | 74.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked REKONIX | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed REKONIX | 16c | 65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked PARIVISION | 52c | 56.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PARIVISION | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 48.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed PARIVISION | 54c | 48.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked REKONIX | 50c | 40.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed PARIVISION | 56c | 35.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed PARIVISION | 42c | 34.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 33.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION | 71c | 32.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed PARIVISION | 42c | 25.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed PARIVISION | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.