Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c32f2bbf77f935227b7f635386e33507b5a78375b7915e1e044e1f65026da0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 45c | 67,828$30,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,710.31 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 53,105$24,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,358.73 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 19,542$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,527.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PlayTime | 40c | 18,518$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.73 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 17,585$10,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,561.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 44c | 14,425$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.38 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…2dd4backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 12,648$7,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 10,953$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.62 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PlayTime | 40c | 10,804$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.7 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 44c | 9,364$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.23 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 8,282$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.61 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 47c | 7,966$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.92 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PlayTime | 61c | 7,843$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.24 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 50c | 6,732$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.12 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 51c | 6,111$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.14 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 5,977$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.31 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 5,668$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.01 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 41c | 5,483$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.54 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed PlayTime | 37c | 5,023$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.51 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PlayTime | 43c | 4,994$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.34 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 4,920$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.9 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a15…dbacbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PlayTime | 48c | 4,359$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.93 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 44c | 4,337$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.55 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed PlayTime | 47c | 4,172$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.77 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 4,145$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.74 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 4,002$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.43 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 3,912$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.31 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 48c | 3,886$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed PlayTime | 41c | 3,793$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.12 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 3,702$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.11 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked PlayTime | 47c | 3,561$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.75 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked PlayTime | 47c | 3,561$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.75 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…a5b3backed PlayTime | 68c | 3,401$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 3,323$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.24 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 35c | 3,122$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.7 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked PlayTime | 44c | 3,019$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.31 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 6c | 2,975$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,973$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.14 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,960$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.18 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 38c | 2,863$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.05 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 60c | 2,790$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.71 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,628$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.67 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,522$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.68 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,335$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.75 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked PlayTime | 43c | 2,301$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 37c | 2,140$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.48 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed PlayTime | 47c | 2,091$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,087$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.22 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PlayTime | 45c | 2,086$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PlayTime | 42c | 2,068$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.61 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,018$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.76 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.32 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 44c | 1,929$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.91 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,811$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.49 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…14febacked PlayTime | 64c | 1,807$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5d1abacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 1,794$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked PlayTime | 51c | 1,699$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PlayTime | 44c | 1,687$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.07 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,674$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.78 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,639$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.69 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,633$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.92 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,625$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.44 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,582$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.82 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,570$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.75 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,560$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.92 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,525$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.04 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked PlayTime | 64c | 1,508$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.9 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,486$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.4 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…5521backed PlayTime | 23c | 1,451$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.85 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PlayTime | 43c | 1,421$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.03 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 47c | 1,398$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.36 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,394$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,344$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.83 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 48c | 1,326$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 1,301$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,298$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.23 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,239$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 48c | 1,208$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.66 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PlayTime | 35c | 1,188$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.51 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed PlayTime | 6c | 1,172$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,158$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.23 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,146$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.95 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,126$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.03 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,065$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked PlayTime | 9c | 1,053$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PlayTime | 24c | 1,041$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,035$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.79 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…0dcbbacked PlayTime | 42c | 999.72$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 995.6$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.86 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 984.21$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.92 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed PlayTime | 46c | 888.55$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.54 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 43c | 881.15$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.