Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a0b88fe8e724fd55d9be0486349b651c90ee8114495a34eb0ae020f87ff1658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Tundra Esports, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7379…c96bbacked Tundra Esports | 0c | 12,720$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 46c | 11,883$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.01 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 53c | 10,960$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.93 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 55c | 7,598$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.29 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 51c | 7,000$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.12 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 5,218$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 4,265$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.55 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 2,908$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.9 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,210$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.16 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,912$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.48 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,682$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,651$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.72 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,605$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.73 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,599$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.75 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.98 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,288$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.54 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,268$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.22 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.92 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,175$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 67c | 1,143$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.81 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 63c | 1,098$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.62 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 52c | 913.82$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.24 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 831.57$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 801.68$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime | 51c | 762.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.12 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 750$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked PlayTime | 51c | 670.14$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.36 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 613.33$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.33 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 610$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.4 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 67c | 609.28$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 598.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed PlayTime | 58c | 519.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 423.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 422.86$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 399.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 373.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 361.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed PlayTime | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PlayTime | 55c | 349.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PlayTime | 58c | 346.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 75c | 343.44$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 337.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 327.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 322.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 48c | 312.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 65c | 286.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 73c | 279.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 264.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 259.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 59c | 256.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 253.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked PlayTime | 56c | 243.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 223.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 220$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked PlayTime | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PlayTime | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked PlayTime | 44c | 175$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed PlayTime | 60c | 174.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 170.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed PlayTime | 62c | 161.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed PlayTime | 67c | 160.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked PlayTime | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 156.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 150.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed PlayTime | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 132.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 132.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 92 | 10.9%10 W · 82 L | -18.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked PlayTime | 51c | 120.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…1137backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 112.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 106.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 106.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 105.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 102.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked PlayTime | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 99.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PlayTime | 52c | 98.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 96.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PlayTime | 54c | 93.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.