Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x367cd583dc2b9b793c76ab1e2aea89cf76b28439939085fa9f5f9f2418cfba23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 147,016$43,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,800 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 35,384$22,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,671.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 26,066$17,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490.02 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 63c | 18,661$11,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 15,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 13,452$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.6 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Team Falcons | 65c | 12,276$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Team Falcons | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 9,372$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 8,416$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 8,072$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.87 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 6,201$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.36 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 5,916$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.18 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 5,430$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.45 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 4,402$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.13 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 4,262$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 4,119$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.82 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Tundra Esports | 22c | 4,008$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.68 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 3,931$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.52 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 3,471$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.12 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 3,240$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.37 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 3,144$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.27 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,986$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.34 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a163backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 2,972$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 2,891$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,850$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.88 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,789$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,690$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.4 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 15c | 2,605$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,430$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.67 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,274$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.23 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,188$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.99 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 1,973$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.29 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,950$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,939$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…f4f0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,881$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 1,706$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…1a02backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,679$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 1,613$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,593$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.54 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,505$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,497$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 1,496$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.59 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,482$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.85 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 1,469$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,392$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,352$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.62 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,339$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.87 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,230$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.18 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 1,139$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 1,112$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.08 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 1,021$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,012$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…1a6fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…796bbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 999.92$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 68c | 967.61$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.64 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Team Falcons | 66c | 935.57$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 918.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 908.73$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.14 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…fa26backed Team Falcons | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…9634backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 865.15$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Team Falcons | 67c | 860.95$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.19 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Team Falcons | 64c | 860.59$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.81 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 849.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 823$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.28 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…506ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 788.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 784.17$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.46 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed Team Falcons | 68c | 773.13$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +131%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons | 72c | 750$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Team Falcons | 67c | 747$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Team Falcons | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 737.91$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 705.21$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 78c | 679.98$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 670.01$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…f015backed Team Falcons | 76c | 639.03$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 633.76$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 632$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 611.22$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 606.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 602.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 582.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.