Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3386b5f58353e92b474a3c04d93303737492dede63c3a816a6fdd4962dc96919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 84,348$34,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,177.45 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 39,881$23,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,903.52 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 61c | 26,011$15,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,145.04 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.99 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 11,127$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.57 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 9,035$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.78 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 8,854$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.44 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 8,646$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.72 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 8,353$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 69c | 7,939$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.91 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 7,300$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 5,527$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.16 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed Team Falcons | 62c | 5,500$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 5,446$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 63c | 4,710$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.14 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,700$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.93 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 4,619$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.08 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,199$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.7 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 4,053$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.19 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 3,779$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.14 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 73c | 3,577$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.6 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 3,570$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.76 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 3,250$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons | 65c | 3,073$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.54 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,819$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.31 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 2,773$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.11 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 2,502$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.76 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,501$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.95 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 2,381$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,270$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,243$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.2 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,137$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.07 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 2,069$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.26 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,921$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.4 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 1,895$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.36 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,889$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.79 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,837$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.17 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.16 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,808$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.18 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,769$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.3 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,714$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…73d0backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,678$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,613$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.29 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,543$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.6 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,480$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.24 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,468$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.46 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,462$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.57 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,449$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,435$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.65 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,353$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,297$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,286$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.82 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,285$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.07 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 1,280$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.06 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,273$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,225$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.25 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,186$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.42 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,179$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,176$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,112$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,075$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.09 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,066$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.05 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 1,058$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,011$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,008$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.85 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 1,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 975.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 940.34$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.84 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 67c | 917.53$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Team Falcons | 58c | 910$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 900$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.63 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 899.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 895.02$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 880.12$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 59c | 847.24$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Falcons | 63c | 841.89$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.24 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 810.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.92 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Falcons | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 788.91$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.1 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 787.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 781.35$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 769.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 759.32$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 746.7$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.21 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 724.03$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 688.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 72c | 665.77$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 648$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.72 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 78c | 641$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons | 60c | 640$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 639.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.