Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d5f2401996a2bf2b8409ea98fa7e63ad9de96060708e155f68afd2a2effbbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,026,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,376,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 62c | 247,653$153,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,621.29 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 136,577$51,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,630.28 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 87,160$33,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,992.92 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 27,124$10,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,482 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 26,385$16,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,770 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 26,000$16,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,889.99 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 20,000$12,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.86 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 18,809$7,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,147.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 15,711$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.03 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 13,800$5,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,394.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 13,125$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.8 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 13,012$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 12,000$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 12,000$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.23 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 11,658$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.52 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 10,943$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.47 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 10,110$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.69 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 9,999$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.21 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 9,903$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 8,105$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.34 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 8,050$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.91 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons | 64c | 7,658$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.19 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons | 62c | 6,666$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.19 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 6,262$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.38 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 6,080$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.53 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 68c | 5,771$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.84 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 5,699$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.91 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 5,646$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.55 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 5,297$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.88 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 5,120$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.95 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 4,831$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.43 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 4,444$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.73 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 4,150$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 4,088$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.71 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 3,687$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 3,456$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.82 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 3,342$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.54 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,329$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.73 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 3,293$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.22 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,120$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,000$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.85 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 2,872$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.9 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 2,855$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.46 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,690$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.19 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 74c | 2,529$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 2,528$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.15 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,522$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.29 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,488$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.36 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,468$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.13 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 2,447$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.74 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,444$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.1 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 2,410$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.1 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,364$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.7 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 2,230$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,224$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.18 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…0d51backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,201$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,164$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.93 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,151$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.87 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Falcons | 66c | 2,075$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.15 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,003$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.28 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,997$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.1 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,986$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,970$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 1,888$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.55 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…a621backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,883$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,882$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.33 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,832$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.98 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,777$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.69 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,772$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.31 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,730$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.57 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,682$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.1 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,679$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.69 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,662$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.44 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,623$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.48 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 1,615$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,579$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,576$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.48 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,573$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.58 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,565$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.67 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 1,515$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.68 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 1,492$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.77 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,400$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.59 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,310$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.8 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,300$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.17 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,282$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.73 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 1,243$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.84 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,196$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.54 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,162$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,154$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.38 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.