TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,026,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,376,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons62c247,653$153,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,621.2916147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports38c136,577$51,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,630.2828748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports39c87,160$33,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,992.921,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Tundra Esports39c27,124$10,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4824148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked Team Falcons63c26,385$16,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7703250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons62c26,000$16,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,889.9928159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons65c20,000$12,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,089.8680256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Tundra Esports38c18,809$7,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,147.332133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports36c15,711$5,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,678.0345139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Tundra Esports39c13,800$5,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,394.471118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports23c13,125$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.81,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e29…cd86backed Tundra Esports38c13,012$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports38c12,000$4,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.831,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports36c12,000$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.231,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons63c11,658$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.521,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports34c10,943$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.4741242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports37c10,110$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.6996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports36c9,999$3,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,583.211,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Tundra Esports32c9,903$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2009630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons67c8,105$5,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.341,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons60c8,050$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.9113558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons64c7,658$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.194548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons62c6,666$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.1931248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports30c6,262$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.3853764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons62c6,080$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.5396645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22027143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons68c5,771$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.8440051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports34c5,699$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.9189749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports36c5,646$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.5571454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports36c5,297$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.8869644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports35c5,120$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.9568649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Tundra Esports18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90017452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports33c4,831$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.431,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Tundra Esports37c4,444$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.7315951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons62c4,150$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.9913960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons70c4,088$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.7179859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Tundra Esports48c3,687$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.933943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Tundra Esports34c3,456$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.8225752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons66c3,342$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.541,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons63c3,329$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.7325248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Tundra Esports19c3,293$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2216242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Falcons62c3,120$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.64358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons62c3,000$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.8579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons65c2,872$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports33c2,855$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.4660646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons62c2,690$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.1956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Tundra Esports38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons74c2,529$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.382,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports38c2,528$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.1577256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Tundra Esports37c2,522$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.296842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons61c2,488$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.3641351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons65c2,468$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.1334468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Tundra Esports40c2,447$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.746637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed Tundra Esports34c2,444$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.17736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports26c2,410$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.150832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons64c2,364$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.750347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Tundra Esports28c2,230$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.42634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports37c2,224$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.1856548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…0d51backed Tundra Esports39c2,201$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-74.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons67c2,164$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.9360552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons69c2,151$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.8741056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Team Falcons66c2,075$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.159644.8%43 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons61c2,003$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.2861745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tundra Esports39c1,997$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons63c1,986$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.22,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons72c1,970$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.962,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports31c1,888$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…a621backed Team Falcons76c1,883$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.561650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports37c1,882$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.3330336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons60c1,832$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.9822644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons70c1,777$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.691,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports41c1,772$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.3144645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons71c1,730$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5735062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tundra Esports38c1,682$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.113020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Falcons63c1,679$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.6915848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Falcons60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.677862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Falcons59c1,662$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.448847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Falcons61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3416945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3413456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons63c1,623$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4822842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Tundra Esports4c1,615$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.921333.3%71 W · 142 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons61c1,579$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.9960349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons63c1,576$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.4820767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed Team Falcons61c1,573$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.589161.5%56 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports37c1,565$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.6739343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Tundra Esports29c1,515$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.6843049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Tundra Esports40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports27c1,492$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7777458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons64c1,400$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.5920156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Team Falcons62c1,310$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.86448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tundra Esports40c1,300$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.177447.3%35 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons66c1,282$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.7322868%155 W · 73 L+15.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Team Falcons79c1,243$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8417373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons62c1,196$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.5480544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons50c1,162$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58137945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons62c1,154$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3872035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.