Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a83efc79ef46a7289e9674b77201bd396840b736c8448d2d1b57e62c9494db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed South America Rejects | 0c | 60,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects | 67c | 23,778$15,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,973.03 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 7,232$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.59 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 6,241$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.22 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 6,146$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.96 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects | 68c | 4,900$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.43 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 3,639$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.2 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 2,743$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.93 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed South America Rejects | 11c | 2,739$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects | 65c | 2,634$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.03 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 2,630$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 2,475$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.69 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 2,118$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.75 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 2,061$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.18 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed South America Rejects | 68c | 2,000$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.45 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 1,537$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.93 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed South America Rejects | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed South America Rejects | 72c | 1,393$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 1,221$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.64 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.16 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects | 78c | 1,148$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 1,045$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.93 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yellow Submarine | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 999.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.77 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 969.45$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yellow Submarine | 21c | 955.29$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.68 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed South America Rejects | 54c | 922.91$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.6 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked South America Rejects | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Yellow Submarine | 19c | 883.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.97 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 749.55$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.32 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 699.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.81 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 692.27$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.22 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 689.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.7 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 663.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.6 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed South America Rejects | 70c | 620$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 613.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.42 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 545.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed South America Rejects | 76c | 542.95$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed South America Rejects | 76c | 510.44$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked South America Rejects | 57c | 477.75$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 454.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 438.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.82 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 411.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 404.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 400$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.8 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked South America Rejects | 80c | 390.8$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 375.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects | 71c | 351.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects | 69c | 348.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 346.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.63 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked South America Rejects | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 297$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 289.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked South America Rejects | 63c | 284.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 272$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked South America Rejects | 79c | 254.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed Yellow Submarine | 9c | 243.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +478.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 222.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yellow Submarine | 10c | 220.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +399.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yellow Submarine | 21c | 216$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 210.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 207.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 204.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked South America Rejects | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 196.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 196.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yellow Submarine | 7c | 196.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +601.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 196$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed South America Rejects | 80c | 191.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 54c | 179.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 162.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 162$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed South America Rejects | 70c | 160$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed South America Rejects | 76c | 158.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked South America Rejects | 79c | 150$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked South America Rejects | 76c | 144.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58fc…77edbacked South America Rejects | 80c | 143.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects | 38c | 142.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 142.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 136.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 135$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked South America Rejects | 68c | 133.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 130.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects | 61c | 128.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 123.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 123.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 121.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 109$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 103.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yellow Submarine | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed South America Rejects | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.