Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaae58e10fefecedb7bb1506d2eb7fa505041e5ada028086a3a9d093bde383837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects | 76c | 12,492$9,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,462.01 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 6,551$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.68 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 6,183$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.8 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 4,058$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.33 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 64c | 3,868$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.56 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 28c | 3,337$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.46 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed South America Rejects | 75c | 3,249$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 2,091$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.32 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 1,992$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed South America Rejects | 58c | 1,714$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed South America Rejects | 79c | 1,235$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,214$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.41 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,136$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.36 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects | 54c | 848.79$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.11 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 847$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.2 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 835.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.72 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Yellow Submarine | 21c | 823.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.87 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 783.64$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.24 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects | 70c | 770.93$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.22 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed South America Rejects | 68c | 641.2$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.04 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked South America Rejects | 64c | 557.65$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.13 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 545.88$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.61 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 537.01$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed South America Rejects | 76c | 523.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed South America Rejects | 45c | 469.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.03 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed South America Rejects | 68c | 350.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects | 74c | 336.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 333.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked South America Rejects | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 299.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 283$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 282.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 65c | 270$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects | 80c | 250.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 244$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed South America Rejects | 63c | 225.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 205.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed South America Rejects | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed South America Rejects | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 155.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects | 58c | 150.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 146.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed South America Rejects | 79c | 138.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 135.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed South America Rejects | 79c | 126.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…fc09backed South America Rejects | 11c | 118.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed South America Rejects | 39c | 109$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 103.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 102.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 101.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed South America Rejects | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed South America Rejects | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed South America Rejects | 51c | 90.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 87.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed South America Rejects | 58c | 84.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 82.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed South America Rejects | 67c | 79.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 302 | 60.3%182 W · 120 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…c499backed South America Rejects | 52c | 78.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed South America Rejects | 53c | 71.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked South America Rejects | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 69.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…f9efbacked South America Rejects | 54c | 66.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 66.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 65.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 61.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South America Rejects | 53c | 60.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…6fe1backed South America Rejects | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked South America Rejects | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed South America Rejects | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 48.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects | 63c | 46.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked South America Rejects | 54c | 46.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects | 74c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked South America Rejects | 55c | 43.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed South America Rejects | 26c | 39.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2593…f798backed South America Rejects | 64c | 37.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed South America Rejects | 75c | 33.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed South America Rejects | 61c | 33.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed South America Rejects | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…10f4backed South America Rejects | 78c | 25.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 25.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 67c | 21.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked South America Rejects | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked South America Rejects | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 273 | 66.3%181 W · 92 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.