TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, South America Rejects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects76c12,492$9,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,462.0140051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine34c6,551$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,306.681,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine26c6,183$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.889341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine24c4,058$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.331,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects64c3,868$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.5650449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine28c3,337$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.4696645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c9…29e5backed South America Rejects75c3,249$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.072548%12 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine30c2,091$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.3296357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Yellow Submarine25c1,992$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49437945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed South America Rejects58c1,714$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024154.8%132 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed South America Rejects79c1,235$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9709063.3%57 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yellow Submarine47c1,214$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.4132652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine45c1,136$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.3699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects54c848.79$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1196245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine41c847$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Yellow Submarine27c835.82$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.7216541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Yellow Submarine21c823.89$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.8710541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects72c783.64$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2486659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects70c770.93$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2260251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects77c700$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53941055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed South America Rejects68c641.2$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0425648%123 W · 133 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked South America Rejects64c557.65$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1353139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Yellow Submarine67c545.88$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6113068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Yellow Submarine48c537.01$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8814157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed South America Rejects76c523.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed South America Rejects45c469.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0356949%279 W · 290 L+34.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yellow Submarine27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed South America Rejects68c350.5$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7367853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects74c336.82$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2522363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c05…416cbacked Yellow Submarine46c333.42$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.652030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Yellow Submarine24c312.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.547953.9%258 W · 221 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked South America Rejects69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20717954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Yellow Submarine50c299.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1117373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine79c283$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4379159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Yellow Submarine48c282.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8846049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects65c270$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects80c250.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine66c244$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.981,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed South America Rejects63c225.55$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.181060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine45c205.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0967043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed South America Rejects70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14067555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed South America Rejects60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Yellow Submarine26c155.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0618042.8%77 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects58c150.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0836654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine38c146.87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.71,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed South America Rejects79c138.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed Yellow Submarine29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.935549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Yellow Submarine24c135.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8520452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed South America Rejects79c126.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked South America Rejects55c125.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecf…fc09backed South America Rejects11c118.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed South America Rejects39c109$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4263447.6%302 W · 332 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine25c103.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.932,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Yellow Submarine74c102.44$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.443953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Yellow Submarine24c101.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.419543.2%41 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed South America Rejects22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed South America Rejects60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yellow Submarine40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015244.7%68 W · 84 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed South America Rejects51c90.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.171,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine78c87.34$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2150769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine24c85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.665441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed South America Rejects58c84.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3746451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine37c82.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed South America Rejects67c79.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1930260.3%182 W · 120 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfa…c499backed South America Rejects52c78.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed South America Rejects53c71.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.764149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked South America Rejects58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8515536.1%56 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Yellow Submarine24c69.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9327952.3%146 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb3…f9efbacked South America Rejects54c66.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine37c66.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine31c65.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.921,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Yellow Submarine45c61.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.817454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South America Rejects53c60.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.321,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5b…6fe1backed South America Rejects53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307467.6%50 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked South America Rejects39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054548.4%264 W · 281 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed South America Rejects27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.550444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yellow Submarine35c48.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6124518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects63c46.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.242,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked South America Rejects54c46.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects74c46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.171,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked South America Rejects55c43.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412357.7%71 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed South America Rejects26c39.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.315923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2593…f798backed South America Rejects64c37.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed South America Rejects75c33.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0727636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed South America Rejects61c33.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011858.5%69 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed South America Rejects77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258056.3%45 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a52…10f4backed South America Rejects78c25.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Yellow Submarine42c25.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5854246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects67c21.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked South America Rejects75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked South America Rejects78c16.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327366.3%181 W · 92 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.