Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c9e57334304edaa132d6ea94f3a8a72cee7754f19fc97c5b3dcbb2ee5cbd89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Natus Vincere, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $680,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $758,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 593 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 32c | 101,492$32,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,191.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 34,445$18,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,243.94 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 31,255$16,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,404.98 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 19,423$7,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,076.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed PlayTime | 41c | 16,348$6,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,672.33 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 52c | 15,017$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.72 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.98 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 11,844$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475.5 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 47c | 11,147$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.01 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 9,672$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 9,608$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 9,460$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.38 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed PlayTime | 44c | 8,751$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.54 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 56c | 8,560$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.84 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 6,729$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 6,667$5,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.5 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 47c | 6,634$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.85 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PlayTime | 40c | 6,277$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.78 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PlayTime | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.98 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 5,224$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.95 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a15…dbacbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,990$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PlayTime | 47c | 4,941$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.04 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 4,845$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 65c | 4,646$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.68 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 4,584$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.61 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…72c1backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 4,210$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.1 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 64c | 4,153$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.71 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed PlayTime | 68c | 4,134$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.39 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PlayTime | 43c | 3,795$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.22 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 3,764$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,719$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 3,600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…7f18backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 3,320$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed PlayTime | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,168$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.44 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,000$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.55 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,920$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.2 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 2,873$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.25 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,759$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.94 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 37c | 2,756$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 79c | 2,735$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.03 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PlayTime | 57c | 2,612$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.6 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 2,600$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.57 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,597$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 2,569$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 53c | 2,549$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.11 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,395$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.39 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed PlayTime | 45c | 2,244$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,190$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.65 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,171$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,055$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.87 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 38c | 2,000$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,982$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.85 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 78c | 1,981$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.23 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,883$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.25 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,879$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,877$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.63 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,731$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.59 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,579$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.31 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,535$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.27 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed PlayTime | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PlayTime | 53c | 1,459$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.18 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,415$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.94 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 62c | 1,386$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.12 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,382$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,366$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,366$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,357$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.1 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,331$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.45 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,304$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.44 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,291$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,287$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,224$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PlayTime | 49c | 1,201$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.51 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,152$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.67 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed PlayTime | 38c | 1,152$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.57 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…318dbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,139$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,134$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,126$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.85 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,112$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.74 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PlayTime | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,084$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked PlayTime | 38c | 1,068$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.32 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,061$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,050$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,049$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 71c | 1,034$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,027$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,016$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.6 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.