Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cabfd78fd4a2d227723cec82725650b84fd3f9e373d2044d98cd3cd7355d8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Natus Vincere, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 91,231$52,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,001.64 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 43c | 49,077$21,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,976.57 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed PlayTime | 43c | 20,680$8,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,794.4 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 41c | 14,936$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,752.86 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 12,364$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 10,250$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.04 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PlayTime | 41c | 9,804$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832.34 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PlayTime | 36c | 9,557$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.07 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 40c | 9,115$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.69 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 41c | 7,988$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.29 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 7,050$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.99 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 6,058$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.36 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 6,000$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 59c | 5,850$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.28 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PlayTime | 40c | 5,000$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.28 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 4,306$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.73 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 61c | 4,221$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.78 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PlayTime | 39c | 4,124$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.8 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 52c | 3,985$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.94 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 3,963$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.46 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,913$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 42c | 3,169$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.64 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed PlayTime | 43c | 2,741$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.54 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 48c | 2,625$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.39 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 63c | 2,504$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,503$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…72c1backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,475$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.89 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,250$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PlayTime | 42c | 2,222$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.58 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,067$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.84 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 39c | 2,011$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.09 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,819$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.22 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,794$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.39 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,750$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.97 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,700$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.65 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,671$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,641$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.6 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,609$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 44c | 1,574$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.05 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,561$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.85 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.1 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,500$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,473$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.48 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,281$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PlayTime | 42c | 1,277$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.98 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf14…502abacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,255$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed PlayTime | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,148$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.44 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,114$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.54 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 52c | 1,105$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.33 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked PlayTime | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 40c | 960$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 922.26$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.47 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 895.21$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 849.98$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.49 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…a5a8backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 826.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 820$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 809.99$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.79 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 59c | 807.14$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.25 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 751.9$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.62 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 53c | 745.67$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 724.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 717.14$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.21 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 56c | 689.43$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 666.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 74c | 632.14$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PlayTime | 66c | 630.53$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.73 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 616.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 606.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked PlayTime | 48c | 554.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.68 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 533.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…dce3backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 530.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…0c6ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 508.75$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed PlayTime | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 40c | 492.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.5 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 438.13$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.88 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 424.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 63c | 421.27$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 419.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 417.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed PlayTime | 47c | 411.53$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 402.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.