Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d7c61119fc1369f11b80f4ed7236cf3715d9ce665f64537e3eaff602d59e043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 41c | 48,252$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PlayTime | 44c | 19,788$8,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,672.23 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 12,750$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.05 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 11,314$6,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.86 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 41c | 10,411$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.49 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 10,210$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.83 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PlayTime | 42c | 9,928$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.75 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 8,511$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.36 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 44c | 7,886$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PlayTime | 55c | 6,847$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.65 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,113$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.86 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…6b38backed PlayTime | 50c | 4,134$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 39c | 3,986$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.67 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PlayTime | 59c | 3,381$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PlayTime | 35c | 3,006$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.76 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,877$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.89 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PlayTime | 55c | 2,872$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.79 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,804$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.29 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,733$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.7 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,649$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,600$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,532$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.02 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,447$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.85 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,313$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,266$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.58 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 45c | 2,191$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.32 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 25c | 2,089$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.28 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,067$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.61 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,040$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.48 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,026$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,015$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.67 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed PlayTime | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 37c | 1,954$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…5208backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,815$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,697$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.82 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,675$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.5 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,629$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.81 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,585$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.58 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed PlayTime | 63c | 1,444$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.82 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,439$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.69 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime | 39c | 1,347$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.6 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…dce3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,273$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PlayTime | 47c | 1,253$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.27 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,164$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.74 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked PlayTime | 42c | 1,150$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.8 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,125$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.27 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,104$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.1 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 45c | 1,066$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.65 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,062$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.73 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,034$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.98 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,021$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,021$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.43 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,009$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,008$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.17 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf14…502abacked PlayTime | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.35 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PlayTime | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PlayTime | 60c | 995.1$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 990$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.8 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 987.07$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.71 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 916.86$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.96 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 881.23$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.95 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 850$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 842$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.08 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 823.78$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.81 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 813.09$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 5c | 799.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed PlayTime | 44c | 792.93$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.03 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PlayTime | 36c | 789.83$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 786.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime | 75c | 778.5$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.88 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed PlayTime | 54c | 767.07$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.62 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 56c | 751$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.45 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 45c | 724.12$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.52 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PlayTime | 43c | 704.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed PlayTime | 25c | 685$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 649.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 647.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 631.2$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.77 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 584.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.12 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 581.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed PlayTime | 64c | 575$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.09 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 53c | 567.14$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 50c | 547.43$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 546$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 520.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.58 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 502.64$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PlayTime | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed PlayTime | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 499.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.