Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a89800369f7126ae60760e942afa581f8b248bf197563f98394d3835bb9dbe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $750,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 55c | 84,032$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,031.61 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 53c | 29,737$15,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,846.08 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 27,250$12,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,318.26 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 39c | 26,030$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.86 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Spirit | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 55c | 17,833$9,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,022.03 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 15,588$7,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 47c | 15,446$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.72 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 42c | 12,728$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388.36 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 11,985$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.51 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 10,913$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.27 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Spirit | 44c | 8,773$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.98 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 6,284$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.69 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 6,202$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Spirit | 46c | 6,087$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Spirit | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.97 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 43c | 5,986$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.57 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed PARIVISION | 60c | 5,599$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.72 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PARIVISION | 57c | 5,298$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.78 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 5,199$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.4 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 5,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 4,861$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.55 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 62c | 4,852$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.1 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 4,587$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.19 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed PARIVISION | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 42c | 4,541$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.78 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked PARIVISION | 54c | 4,458$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.88 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Spirit | 38c | 4,385$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.4 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 4,300$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.99 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed PARIVISION | 67c | 4,241$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.53 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 4,201$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.2 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Spirit | 40c | 4,076$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.74 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed PARIVISION | 50c | 3,994$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.84 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 3,954$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.72 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 3,901$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.01 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed PARIVISION | 55c | 3,832$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.64 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,700$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.96 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 3,588$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.5 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed PARIVISION | 61c | 3,531$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.44 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 3,486$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.8 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Spirit | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.47 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Spirit | 46c | 3,254$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.92 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 3,181$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.05 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit | 40c | 3,166$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.06 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed PARIVISION | 55c | 3,127$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.32 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 3,086$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.24 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 3,001$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.35 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 2,811$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.25 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 62c | 2,782$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.72 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed PARIVISION | 58c | 2,781$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.56 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 2,567$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.05 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed PARIVISION | 61c | 2,552$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.86 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Spirit | 40c | 2,500$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.51 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Spirit | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,375$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.08 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,353$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.71 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,215$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,212$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,186$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.07 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 2,172$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.97 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PARIVISION | 53c | 2,021$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.24 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed PARIVISION | 61c | 2,013$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.07 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed PARIVISION | 62c | 2,000$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.01 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Team Spirit | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,874$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.93 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,761$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.09 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 1,720$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.51 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,700$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.58 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,699$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.64 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,610$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.4 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,592$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.58 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,572$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.94 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,480$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.39 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,480$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.88 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,450$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.49 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,438$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.65 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,393$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.11 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,375$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.58 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,374$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.45 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 1,282$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.09 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,262$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.98 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,250$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Spirit | 3c | 1,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,244$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.7 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,216$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.28 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,189$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Spirit | 29c | 1,100$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.08 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 1,094$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,088$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.52 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…2463backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,081$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…9609backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,065$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,051$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.8 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,050$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.16 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.23 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,010$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.