Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5feac6140f642f8c3cc84eec974a63bdc99f3c02e9deeb49cdc654c8a7b21209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 45c | 101,123$45,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,878.88 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 48c | 99,861$47,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,158.15 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 76c | 25,024$19,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.56 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 62c | 16,997$10,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,531.64 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 33c | 12,368$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,235.33 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 9,677$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.72 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed PARIVISION | 46c | 7,500$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.64 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 63c | 7,423$4,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685.05 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 35c | 7,077$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.3 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 47c | 6,902$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.38 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed PARIVISION | 45c | 6,543$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 6,482$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.89 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 48c | 6,344$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.28 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 5,844$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.32 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 44c | 5,804$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.75 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PARIVISION | 54c | 5,563$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.47 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.17 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed PARIVISION | 65c | 4,799$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.71 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 4,400$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.6 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 67c | 4,387$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.26 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PARIVISION | 29c | 4,029$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.46 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed PARIVISION | 48c | 3,892$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.39 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed PARIVISION | 59c | 3,705$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.92 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PARIVISION | 64c | 3,665$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.51 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 18c | 3,614$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.57 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 3,585$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 34c | 3,493$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.2 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 3,336$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.04 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 3,331$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.88 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Spirit | 79c | 3,278$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.22 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 3,269$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.8 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 32c | 2,972$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.18 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,948$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.93 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 2,900$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.8 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 15c | 2,722$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.26 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,664$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.34 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked PARIVISION | 64c | 2,623$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.02 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PARIVISION | 47c | 2,508$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.89 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed PARIVISION | 53c | 2,500$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed PARIVISION | 61c | 2,467$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.35 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 2,461$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.41 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,250$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.5 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PARIVISION | 2c | 2,250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,244$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.19 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit | 36c | 2,180$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,060$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,980$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,975$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.35 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,887$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.74 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,750$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,741$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 29c | 1,656$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.68 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,585$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.35 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,542$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.32 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,510$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.41 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked PARIVISION | 23c | 1,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.93 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,253$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.38 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.54 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,236$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,159$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.37 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,128$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.27 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,128$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.08 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,109$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.4 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,100$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 1,078$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.24 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,054$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.82 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed PARIVISION | 62c | 999.98$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked PARIVISION | 63c | 990$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.7 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Spirit | 35c | 972$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.8 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Spirit | 43c | 959.89$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.1 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Team Spirit | 35c | 947.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.71 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 36c | 909.57$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.13 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed PARIVISION | 55c | 908.38$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Team Spirit | 39c | 903.9$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.9 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 35c | 897$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION | 67c | 877$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.51 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…c2f5backed PARIVISION | 4c | 852.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 44c | 794.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.35 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 753.8$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.51 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Spirit | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed PARIVISION | 58c | 726.29$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.25 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Team Spirit | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed PARIVISION | 66c | 702.48$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.64 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 690.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.6 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 50c | 681.07$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.88 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 676$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.63 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 671.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 664$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.22 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed PARIVISION | 57c | 660.53$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.31 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.