Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf17902bb91b8ca40b648d1e59b30f68183966cad25151bebaa75d984227f53c2

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $830,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $889,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,617 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 838 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7579…94c6backed No	40c	35,576$14,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,064.19	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	41c	23,018$9,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,523.69	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	73c	14,295$10,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,866.41	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	57c	14,059$7,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,083.78	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	55c	13,586$7,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,117.56	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	46c	11,777$5,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,416.4	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	39c	10,745$4,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,557.05	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	45c	10,266$4,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,612.42	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	61c	9,462$5,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,650.27	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	80c	9,184$7,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860.11	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	63c	8,937$5,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,313.96	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	69c	8,626$5,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,639.81	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed No	32c	8,444$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,702.05	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	42c	7,880$3,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,583.79	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked No	0c	7,192$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	65c	6,655$4,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,335.22	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	25c	6,077$1,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,528.49	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	72c	6,074$4,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,682.22	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	57c	5,500$3,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,111.95	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	31c	5,421$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,761.2	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	60c	5,100$3,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,038.96	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	34c	4,986$1,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,314.45	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	44c	4,589$2,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,567.98	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x577c…c836backed Yes	78c	4,400$3,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.99	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	55c	4,180$2,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,872.1	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No	14c	4,180$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.62	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	29c	4,162$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.95	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	55c	4,149$2,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,859.91	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	44c	4,109$1,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,291.65	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	29c	4,108$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,927.88	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	56c	4,095$2,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,296.44	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No	21c	3,924$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.7	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	34c	3,506$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,310.69	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	53c	3,500$1,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	75c	3,442$2,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,578.16	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	33c	3,260$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,173.26	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	15c	3,148$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,690.94	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98cf…2cc1backed Yes	67c	2,962$1,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	37c	2,939$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856.46	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	51c	2,929$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,508.17	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	39c	2,912$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,784.4	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed No	28c	2,851$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.81	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed No	3c	2,800$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	3c	2,800$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	65c	2,746$1,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.9	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	2c	2,699$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.99	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	13c	2,690$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,340.19	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	59c	2,689$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.35	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	29c	2,668$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.91	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed No	14c	2,649$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.7	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	63c	2,628$1,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.19	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	43c	2,618$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,496.63	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	37c	2,509$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571.33	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c45…425cbacked Yes	43c	2,461$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.16	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0759…a93dbacked Yes	70c	2,347$1,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.02	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	45c	2,336$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.59	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	54c	2,335$1,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.45	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	25c	2,295$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,728.64	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Yes	41c	2,258$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.74	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-30%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No	36c	2,222$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.92	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be3…44a5backed Yes	42c	2,219$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.48	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3c…8f25backed Yes	73c	2,135$1,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.77	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	38c	2,128$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.18	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	30c	2,125$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480.4	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	71c	2,051$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.91	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	60c	2,041$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.24	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	15c	2,000$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,707.3	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	16c	1,991$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,672.67	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	49c	1,959$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.16	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1c…3a01backed Yes	15c	1,911$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,615.41	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	37c	1,861$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,179.17	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e45…9e45backed No	55c	1,860$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.33	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	55c	1,846$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.89	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a7…b2bcbacked Yes	62c	1,817$1,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.37	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	13c	1,760$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.02	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5afb…d66dbacked Yes	69c	1,745$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.1	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	47c	1,726$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.1	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	46c	1,700$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918.99	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	38c	1,685$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.76	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c45…4503backed Yes	14c	1,644$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416.08	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	17c	1,644$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.14	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdd…dacebacked Yes	21c	1,585$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,257.77	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	33c	1,577$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.74	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	48c	1,569$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.19	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes	32c	1,544$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.6	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed No	75c	1,507$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.99	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	59c	1,505$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.54	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes	64c	1,488$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.38	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	50c	1,476$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.55	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	17c	1,468$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.92	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	35c	1,374$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.53	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdab8…bfbebacked Yes	32c	1,354$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.53	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	55c	1,342$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.2	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Yes	20c	1,312$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.32	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	20c	1,294$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.54	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	37c	1,262$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.3	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4239…5dafbacked Yes	63c	1,262$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.44	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4982…fe01backed Yes	60c	1,229$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.52	115	29.6%34 W · 81 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed No	58c	1,205$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.94	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	57c	1,200$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.5	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event