Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60b47745dbe78ea90b5b304cf30240cb8576d1ea52eceb5ed5338bd9dc4c43f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $782,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $431,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,839 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes	0c	29,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	19,775$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.76	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a7…b2bcbacked Yes	3c	12,350$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.15	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	12,330$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.12	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	11,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	10,359$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.48	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	9,827$1,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.36	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	1c	8,330$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.72	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	7,751$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.5	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	10c	7,322$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.11	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f8…05f9backed Yes	1c	7,251$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.05	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-49%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	14c	7,046$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.79	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	5,509$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.28	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	5,128$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	5,120$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	8c	4,674$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.11	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	9c	4,661$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.93	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	4,645$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.29	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	7c	4,632$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.02	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	9c	4,454$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.45	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	13c	4,213$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.41	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	7c	4,122$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.13	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	4,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	3,996$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.9	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	3,984$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.88	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	3,934$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.05	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	3,907$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.41	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	3,880$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.24	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	3,796$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.43	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe95…2803backed Yes	12c	3,782$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.07	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e81…5d73backed Yes	1c	3,595$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	3,395$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.58	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	7c	3,361$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.67	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	10c	3,181$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.63	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030a…aad9backed Yes	1c	3,142$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	13c	3,023$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.7	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	14c	2,951$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.4	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	2,925$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.26	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	2c	2,766$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	8c	2,699$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.83	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	12c	2,657$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.9	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	18c	2,637$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.62	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	10c	2,622$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.53	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	2c	2,576$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.09	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	13c	2,460$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.4	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	2,326$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.62	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	8c	2,318$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.11	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…9a02backed Yes	9c	2,302$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.63	111	24.3%27 W · 84 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	2,264$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe190…e93dbacked Yes	7c	2,212$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.53	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-29%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	2c	2,181$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.22	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	12c	2,124$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.87	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	2,111$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.7	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	6c	2,033$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.73	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	12c	1,983$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.21	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	1,945$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.63	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	11c	1,930$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.04	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	9c	1,924$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.7	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	1,915$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.93	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	1,898$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.41	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	11c	1,889$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.45	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	1,815$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.79	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	15c	1,788$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.64	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	1,763$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.21	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	1,756$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9f5…5305backed Yes	13c	1,747$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.05	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	9c	1,632$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.24	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	14c	1,627$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.62	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	2c	1,627$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…8804backed Yes	16c	1,600$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1506…84efbacked Yes	3c	1,504$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	2c	1,500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.13	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	1,500$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2b…6813backed Yes	13c	1,461$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.9	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	1,400$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	7c	1,387$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	14c	1,352$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.94	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	2c	1,300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9947…23febacked Yes	16c	1,285$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.57	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	7c	1,241$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.26	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b1…4e80backed Yes	14c	1,234$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.67	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	15c	1,220$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	8c	1,212$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.44	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068d…70d3backed Yes	1c	1,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9a…05f1backed Yes	2c	1,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes	14c	1,200$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	13c	1,200$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc12…c877backed Yes	13c	1,193$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.14	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	6c	1,166$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.45	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	4c	1,145$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.07	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	5c	1,131$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.59	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event