Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb2cacb81836d202657637fa4fe249c535bb88f3dc3c558debc06d4329940b3

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $685,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $467,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	14,495$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.57	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	12,831$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.52	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	10,722$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.75	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	10,350$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	10,335$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	9,232$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.77	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	6c	9,057$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.19	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	0c	7,640$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…fbadbacked Yes	4c	7,339$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.73	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	0c	6,858$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	6,372$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.14	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	3c	5,078$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.43	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	5,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	4,722$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	4,652$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.23	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes	1c	4,341$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.31	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe95…2803backed Yes	4c	4,202$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.86	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	4,175$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.03	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	8c	4,000$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	3,901$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.31	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	3,886$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.49	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	4c	3,802$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.88	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	9c	3,513$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.69	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	6c	3,456$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.75	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x614a…d202backed Yes	0c	3,452$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	3,263$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.9	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	6c	3,019$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.96	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	5c	2,951$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.52	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	2,930$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	8c	2,899$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.03	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	2,640$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.57	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf6…e161backed Yes	0c	2,638$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	2c	2,554$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.57	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	6c	2,508$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.49	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	8c	2,389$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.85	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	2,330$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.46	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff74…d4b5backed Yes	9c	2,155$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.08	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	2c	2,117$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.39	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…9a02backed Yes	3c	2,055$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	111	24.3%27 W · 84 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	1c	2,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b4…06fcbacked Yes	1c	1,979$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	1,967$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	1,924$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.76	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	1,902$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.41	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…0191backed Yes	12c	1,900$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	10c	1,882$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.16	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	6c	1,749$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.36	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Yes	13c	1,739$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.29	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	8c	1,697$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.07	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	1,679$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.22	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes	11c	1,650$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.5	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f2…ffd2backed Yes	12c	1,520$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+733.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	2c	1,415$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…ba41backed Yes	13c	1,405$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.6	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5b…1902backed Yes	18c	1,389$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.82	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	9c	1,360$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.1	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…10f8backed Yes	13c	1,348$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.2	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	8c	1,300$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	3c	1,300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3188…beb0backed Yes	2c	1,283$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	9c	1,265$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.12	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	3c	1,187$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.71	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1a…117abacked Yes	14c	1,187$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.16	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+134.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	10c	1,169$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.29	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,087$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.09	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…ce58backed Yes	3c	1,073$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.19	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	3c	1,021$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.54	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	8c	999.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Yes	12c	995.6$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.47	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes	2c	986.52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	8c	948.25$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.41	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e78…c340backed Yes	10c	937.59$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.97	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5273…16debacked Yes	10c	910.94$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b83…be04backed Yes	4c	900.66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Yes	13c	881.24$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.56	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes	12c	815.2$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.82	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	12c	813.41$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.61	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…5815backed Yes	2c	800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	8c	800$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Yes	13c	784.92$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.04	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	4c	767.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.13	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	6c	763.58$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	3c	741.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x316b…8d96backed Yes	13c	721.66$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.26	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x016a…6f6fbacked Yes	13c	718.13$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.27	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0f…dfa6backed Yes	13c	710.11$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.29	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	3c	703.2$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	4c	699.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	6c	691.76$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	675.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52e7…a0aabacked Yes	5c	611.34$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9324…1e0ebacked Yes	2c	609.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	11c	608.33$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.92	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	5c	601.63$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event