Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44e24250d8db3132d5ec464664918012f036ab354dc10633e336005db20d52f

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,053,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $724,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,053,142 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	80,578$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.36	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	5c	29,343$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.11	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	77c	26,282$20,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,069.84	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	14,801$3,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,608.95	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	11c	12,758$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.87	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	20c	10,457$2,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.86	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	8c	10,410$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.59	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	7c	10,368$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.02	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	7c	10,264$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.56	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	24c	9,902$2,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,334.09	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	9,002$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	9c	8,366$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.88	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	19c	8,140$1,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,531	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	8,071$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.82	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	25c	7,853$1,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,947.98	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	27c	7,400$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.48	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	20c	7,307$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.83	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	27c	7,285$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.5	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	76c	7,035$5,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,670.9	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	8c	6,213$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.96	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	7c	6,213$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.32	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	73c	6,089$4,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643.59	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	5,787$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.59	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	0c	5,600$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	22c	5,346$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.83	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	5,200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	5,039$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.33	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	6c	4,859$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.53	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	14c	4,805$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.18	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	13c	4,763$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.78	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	18c	4,702$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.91	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes	2c	4,650$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+6.1wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+152.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	17c	4,345$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.94	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	18c	4,334$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.19	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	19c	4,167$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.22	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf48…136dbacked No	77c	4,099$3,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.29	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	21c	4,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x577c…c836backed Yes	15c	3,546$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.46	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	17c	3,502$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.74	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	4c	3,380$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.93	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	6c	3,190$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.09	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	19c	3,185$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.36	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	14c	3,174$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.54	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	18c	3,138$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.86	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	4c	3,069$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.54	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	29c	3,059$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.14	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	23c	2,813$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.08	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	14c	2,741$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.46	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	24c	2,707$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.59	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	21c	2,620$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.7	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	26c	2,618$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.68	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd805…9eaabacked Yes	8c	2,578$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.43	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	10c	2,513$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.15	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…4503backed Yes	14c	2,502$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.93	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	28c	2,422$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.04	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	17c	2,387$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.49	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	4c	2,371$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.25	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	19c	2,342$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.15	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	8c	2,230$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.02	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	11c	2,205$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.11	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	23c	2,185$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.92	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,133$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.47	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	16c	2,132$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.93	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	10c	2,102$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.28	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	15c	2,057$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.57	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	18c	2,036$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.46	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	13c	2,007$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.15	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	3c	2,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	13c	2,000$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.9	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	23c	1,982$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.3	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes	38c	1,970$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.47	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Yes	23c	1,965$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.77	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-30%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	16c	1,948$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.61	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	18c	1,925$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.74	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1c…3a01backed Yes	16c	1,912$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.97	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	21c	1,875$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.02	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…b2bcbacked Yes	21c	1,827$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.08	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	13c	1,826$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.38	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	13c	1,826$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.38	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b27…7908backed Yes	5c	1,800$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.1	97	27.8%27 W · 70 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	25c	1,783$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.96	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	75c	1,772$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.49	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x030a…aad9backed Yes	6c	1,751$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.88	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	16c	1,719$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.1	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e45…9e45backed No	75c	1,707$1,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.29	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…9a02backed Yes	24c	1,694$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.79	111	24.3%27 W · 84 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	19c	1,693$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.3	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	27c	1,633$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.86	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	74c	1,565$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.14	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	15c	1,556$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.42	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	32c	1,510$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.25	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	20c	1,505$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.85	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	34c	1,500$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.99	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe589…0666backed Yes	2c	1,467$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	71c	1,461$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	20c	1,457$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.48	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	3c	1,431$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.43	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	10c	1,427$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.62	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdd…dacebacked Yes	19c	1,404$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.85	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event