Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc1a941b6ef963f637ecd05c7415d06179e5c519f8859a7be4161f00a0648a0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,310,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $915,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,580 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 797 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	11c	34,712$3,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,752.68	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	15c	32,560$4,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,761.73	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	20c	31,189$6,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,213.39	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	5c	15,657$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.88	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	61c	14,740$8,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,755.52	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	18c	14,633$2,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,619.33	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	8c	14,443$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.55	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	13,432$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.18	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	13c	13,278$1,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780.51	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	13c	11,560$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.83	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	24c	10,056$2,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,421.92	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe45c…04b4backed No	80c	10,000$7,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,027.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	22c	9,381$2,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,063.83	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	18c	9,092$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,605.59	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	26c	8,528$2,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,230.87	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	13c	8,522$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.91	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	16c	8,371$1,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301.38	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	15c	8,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	7,537$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.51	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	12c	7,521$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.94	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	11c	7,504$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.66	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	14c	7,334$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.25	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	8c	7,147$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.16	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	13c	7,060$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.27	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	11c	6,887$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.53	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	16c	6,308$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.06	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	14c	6,251$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.35	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	15c	6,136$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.2	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ea…6ef3backed Yes	1c	5,630$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	18c	5,521$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.96	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	11c	5,377$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.14	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	10c	5,228$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.07	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	25c	5,210$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.58	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	14c	5,102$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.3	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	15c	5,000$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.66	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec0…141fbacked Yes	0c	4,972$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	21c	4,650$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.72	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	76c	4,639$3,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.61	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9d2…b5c5backed Yes	0c	4,542$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	22c	4,147$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.17	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	20c	4,130$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.73	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	18c	4,097$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.05	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	15c	4,070$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.66	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	13c	4,045$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.8	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	11c	3,988$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.04	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	14c	3,910$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.06	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	19c	3,891$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.26	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked No	76c	3,849$2,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.13	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	15c	3,789$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.64	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	16c	3,646$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.59	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	13c	3,573$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.2	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	21c	3,372$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.69	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	9c	3,360$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.84	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	16c	3,300$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.55	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	17c	3,259$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.87	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	12c	3,214$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.83	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	15c	3,033$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.07	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	3,000$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes	11c	2,984$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.59	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	37c	2,984$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.03	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	15c	2,934$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.28	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf85b…fa2cbacked Yes	18c	2,861$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	8c	2,861$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.88	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	13c	2,820$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.97	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…b2bcbacked Yes	16c	2,817$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.7	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	17c	2,753$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.48	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	11c	2,721$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.37	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	74c	2,714$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.47	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	14c	2,703$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.57	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	17c	2,692$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.24	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	13c	2,624$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.56	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	21c	2,601$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.07	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	16c	2,478$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.1	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	15c	2,370$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.49	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	2,317$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.75	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes	29c	2,189$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.43	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c33…dab9backed Yes	35c	2,156$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.83	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	12c	2,130$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.2	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f8…05f9backed Yes	10c	2,078$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-49%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	14c	2,051$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.16	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	2,022$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.05	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	30c	2,018$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.08	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	16c	1,999$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.13	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	25c	1,996$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.48	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	12c	1,988$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.02	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed Yes	13c	1,967$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.33	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8117…9832backed Yes	20c	1,963$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.82	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+153.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	80c	1,958$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.97	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	15c	1,944$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.74	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes	14c	1,943$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.96	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	29c	1,925$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.25	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	22c	1,913$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.62	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1c…3a01backed Yes	12c	1,910$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.83	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	14c	1,869$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.84	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	13c	1,826$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.38	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	14c	1,798$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.69	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff3…7737backed Yes	13c	1,790$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.48	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event