Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9431dae4e6f9b35acbc8f9abbb13e96c47b930f84b046d54cdbcfb1f89e8d9c8

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $590,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $327,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,184 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	28,521$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	24,900$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf6…e161backed Yes	0c	20,972$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	0c	15,001$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	1c	15,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	12,075$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.15	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	9,663$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.35	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	9,413$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.96	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	7,246$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	0c	6,888$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	6,671$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.35	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	0c	5,250$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	4,922$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.77	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	4,692$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe95…2803backed Yes	1c	4,467$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.1	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	4,039$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.49	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	4,011$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.9	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	3,706$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.48	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	5c	3,552$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.67	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	3,463$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.19	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	3,393$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	3,344$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.82	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	3,163$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.63	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	3c	3,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	7c	2,844$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.87	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	2c	2,823$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.28	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	2,640$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22f…6ac9backed Yes	1c	2,342$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	2,341$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.07	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	2,327$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.18	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	1c	2,151$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	2c	2,034$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.62	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	1c	2,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	5c	1,991$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.33	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	4c	1,911$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.3	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	2c	1,883$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	1,665$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	1,620$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.58	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	1,591$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.18	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b27…7908backed Yes	1c	1,540$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	97	27.8%27 W · 70 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,496$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.55	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x24ad…d485backed Yes	1c	1,494$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,430$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.22	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	1,400$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	1,395$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	7c	1,331$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.53	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab27…3b93backed Yes	5c	1,220$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	6c	1,200$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	5c	1,034$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.18	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…f535backed Yes	1c	1,020$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	7c	1,002$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.01	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	2c	999.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	8c	825.73$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…b8e4backed Yes	10c	805.63$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.88	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	6c	800$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b83…be04backed Yes	3c	653.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x776e…d6f3backed Yes	7c	647.86$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	11c	639.1$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.82	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	9c	621.03$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.46	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	3c	591.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	8c	578.73$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	4c	562.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016a…6f6fbacked Yes	10c	546$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Yes	10c	522.71$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.63	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	499.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c06…fbadbacked Yes	10c	478.95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	3c	411.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a93…c89abacked Yes	9c	401.48$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	3c	400.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	400.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	5c	395.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	8c	334.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa55a…0c43backed Yes	10c	315.77$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.58	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fc…16b5backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	104	12.5%13 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed Yes	8c	296.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f2…ffd2backed Yes	10c	291.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+733.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked Yes	9c	290.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba66…79d8backed Yes	4c	285.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	115	19.1%22 W · 93 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	277.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0915…ba41backed Yes	10c	273$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Yes	8c	269.12$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…d3f7backed Yes	5c	249.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	9c	240$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	9c	210.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.11	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe90…9590backed Yes	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	9c	199.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a5…a67cbacked Yes	6c	190.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	10c	182$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	12c	152.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	9c	116.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event