TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,034,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,230,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,034,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes53c99,356$52,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,697.263342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes52c88,695$45,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,760.4715034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9714…76adbacked Yes53c76,660$40,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,071.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes52c70,174$36,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,422.016832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No47c44,453$20,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,893.058756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c33,749$13,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,3874,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes52c31,887$16,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,349.72850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No47c31,635$14,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,868.533366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c31,243$14,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,716.921,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked No47c23,933$11,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,321.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No11c23,525$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.691,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No47c22,077$10,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,376.056243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No47c18,540$8,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,713.83956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c17,502$5,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,933.0890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No48c16,407$7,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,875.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No49c14,957$7,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,312.524856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes54c14,406$7,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,626.731747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No46c12,566$5,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,833.935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No48c12,235$5,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,847.497656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7606746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c11,132$5,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,272.591,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No48c10,964$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,262.791729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c10,261$4,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,863.042,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c8,923$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.653,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c8,453$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.2215051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7607553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No47c7,746$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.4311054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No47c7,018$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.86555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No43c7,006$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.6483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No48c6,500$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0955749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Yes76c6,467$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No47c6,386$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.425149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No48c6,270$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.62441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No46c6,230$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.727139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No48c6,195$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.785750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No48c6,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8506051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No48c5,835$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.855853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No47c5,809$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.329457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c4,807$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.1858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No47c4,494$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.182222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No51c4,394$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.372343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No48c4,037$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.660%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes52c3,944$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.2349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No47c3,873$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.2215952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No9c3,736$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes54c3,601$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.688343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c3,542$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.9240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No47c3,542$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.9228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No47c3,542$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.9223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No47c3,389$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.6910760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes53c3,384$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.381952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes53c3,277$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.025964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x527c…5f6cbacked No48c3,249$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No32c3,195$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.137653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4405942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed No47c2,987$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes54c2,917$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.9114244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No8c2,914$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No47c2,905$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.1610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No46c2,887$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No28c2,718$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.4912553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No48c2,567$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.3110539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.997349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No48c2,243$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.6815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c2,166$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.7450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes60c2,162$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.2922753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes54c2,107$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.231973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+80.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No48c2,065$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.3131952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No39c2,042$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4958…45e5backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9807561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…0cc5backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No48c1,985$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No51c1,980$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.729851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No47c1,729$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.771020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No47c1,729$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.6428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No47c1,712$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.571844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked No47c1,663$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.46742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes74c1,655$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.184841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c1,620$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.7783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No48c1,619$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.6948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c1,601$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.7499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No48c1,400$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6704850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes76c1,366$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.34057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e19…ac9ebacked No46c1,309$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked No48c1,272$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.713253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes68c1,255$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5641010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-81.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes68c1,155$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1418956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.287443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No47c1,100$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.744528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes53c1,054$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.535232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No48c1,032$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.253145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes53c1,024$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.9910145.5%46 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes53c1,016$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.393537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes50c1,014$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed No48c1,005$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.