TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$379,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes19c72,256$13,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,481.8215034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c67,226$19,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,141.696832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdee9…c110backed Yes4c53,590$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c26,746$21,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,611.1790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c8,416$6,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.024,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c8,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.9824147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80df…c5e2backed Yes28c7,518$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes29c7,249$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.6215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c6,830$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.491,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes28c6,658$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.143053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No72c5,474$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.08955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0f…325dbacked No73c4,852$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No72c4,841$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.5441751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes28c4,552$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.461216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No74c4,374$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.329736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c3,704$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.0715051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes28c3,417$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.83525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No73c3,320$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.492958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes21c2,268$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes28c2,004$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c1,625$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.418956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No71c1,577$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.3320159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes14c1,355$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.686437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed No80c1,344$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No75c1,340$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No71c1,306$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,174$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.862,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No72c1,149$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No74c1,057$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2220241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No73c1,047$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.738100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c1,045$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.141,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27048153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa268…f1f2backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No72c999.96$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.994266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No70c987.29$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.244959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c890.25$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.447024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No71c840.66$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.791553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced3…10d1backed Yes43c836.49$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No72c702$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.563658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed No72c690.21$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.261758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b43…0f61backed Yes42c675.63$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c640.33$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6912159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.923727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes25c613.89$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.852231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes15c599.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9922939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No77c594.84$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.784252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed No72c560$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.82352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa732…8db0backed Yes29c499.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes18c475.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5711120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes20c428.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.681822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes26c422.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.241,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes15c374.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4311819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c360.01$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6813426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes20c333.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.642045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f7…aef9backed No73c295.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes20c285.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.126225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Yes20c285.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes19c285.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.233218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No70c279.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3623957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2363…b0e8backed Yes28c273.37$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.542450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.545050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c257.01$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1963553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.64639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No70c223.69$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9719260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes17c223.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0110834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No71c215.42$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.471747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes17c213.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.817861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes45c206.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0925872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes28c205.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.412839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked No58c196.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.55825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes9c188.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.07933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes20c182.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.734057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.234252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No78c172.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.024445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No68c168.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8337348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No72c160.04$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7117159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No74c159.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.52263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c155.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.978672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No80c152.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.419629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.523843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed Yes28c147.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c143.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0933161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0920050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes28c135.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2820630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed No73c134.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes16c134.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.843339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes20c134.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.933729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes18c134.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.776926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0a0…b468backed Yes19c133.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes36c131.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6229038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes15c125.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7710343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.