Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4a4b3693481d03a6dd21635d2b49c49348dbebb0f4a4c09b422d077740fce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 6c | 3,917$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.05 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 1c | 3,624$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 9c | 2,741$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 10c | 2,509$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 1,659$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 17c | 1,314$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…d2b3backed No | 33c | 1,128$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 4c | 909.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked Yes | 68c | 632.17$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 599.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 11c | 564.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 80c | 515.52$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed Yes | 70c | 415$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 6c | 397.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…b3e2backed No | 38c | 377.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed No | 44c | 329.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed Yes | 63c | 317.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 9c | 311.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 26c | 308.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 70c | 276.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…ba48backed Yes | 77c | 273.62$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed Yes | 72c | 262.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…7244backed Yes | 65c | 262.7$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 10c | 259.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…6d36backed Yes | 75c | 259.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 66c | 253.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 72c | 252.43$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 17c | 243.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed Yes | 63c | 231.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 66c | 225.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 11c | 205.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 22c | 204.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 40c | 198.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 27c | 175.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…035ebacked Yes | 61c | 159.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 57c | 149.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 7c | 147.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 75c | 145.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 75c | 132.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 51c | 132.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 21c | 131.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…db0abacked Yes | 47c | 128.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 36c | 127.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…6526backed Yes | 75c | 126.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…e75fbacked Yes | 78c | 125.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 23c | 124.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 79c | 124.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…da6ebacked Yes | 79c | 123.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 15c | 115.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked No | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 13c | 113.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…d481backed Yes | 73c | 112.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…cb41backed Yes | 79c | 111.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 26c | 111.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 59c | 100.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 58c | 98.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…5022backed Yes | 76c | 98.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 25c | 95.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…b7b7backed Yes | 76c | 92.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 27c | 90.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…ba7fbacked Yes | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8e…435cbacked No | 28c | 87.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 58c | 86.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…3c2bbacked Yes | 78c | 84.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Yes | 80c | 83.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…ddd7backed Yes | 72c | 81.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 78c | 79.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…ab86backed Yes | 67c | 78.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…096fbacked No | 25c | 74.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…6803backed Yes | 54c | 71.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 67c | 71.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 36c | 65.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…bb46backed Yes | 55c | 65.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…37cabacked No | 30c | 64.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…2ee1backed Yes | 68c | 63.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 19c | 62.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…3f39backed Yes | 78c | 62.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 65c | 62.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe14e…4286backed Yes | 77c | 62.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 75c | 62.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 76c | 58.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed Yes | 68c | 58.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…9383backed Yes | 76c | 58.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 36c | 54.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 77c | 54.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…4ebfbacked No | 37c | 50.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…91d5backed No | 47c | 50.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…bdbfbacked No | 23c | 49.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…c4a1backed Yes | 76c | 49.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.