Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc58e6efcc784b4bc87db181d1ee411ca869827f704eb9625a1983397e40cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 5c | 11,363$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.58 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,836$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.26 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,690$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,155$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 1,076$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.19 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 16c | 717.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 5c | 700$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 6c | 671.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 554.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 6c | 509.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 13c | 444$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked Yes | 9c | 388.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 353.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 10c | 296.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 265.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed Yes | 36c | 261.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 18c | 252.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 25c | 249.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 10c | 238.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 12c | 237.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 9c | 231.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 7c | 219.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 5c | 195.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 12c | 191.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 22c | 188.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 167.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…db0abacked Yes | 21c | 163.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 23c | 161.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 10c | 160.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 152.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 26c | 138.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 10c | 135$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 132.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 121.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…bc5cbacked Yes | 13c | 118.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed No | 75c | 114.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…e75fbacked Yes | 14c | 114.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…52f4backed Yes | 16c | 113.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…bdeabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…89f5backed Yes | 19c | 95.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 14c | 94.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 14c | 93.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…bed9backed Yes | 21c | 93.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…3cbcbacked Yes | 21c | 87.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 14c | 87.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 37c | 87.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 70c | 77.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 27c | 70.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 20c | 66.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 22c | 66.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 64.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…bb48backed Yes | 31c | 59.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…8429backed Yes | 22c | 58.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…c361backed Yes | 25c | 57.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…0407backed Yes | 20c | 56.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…1b64backed Yes | 25c | 50.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked Yes | 30c | 46.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 30c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Yes | 24c | 46.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 66c | 45.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 41.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 73c | 40.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 62c | 40.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 78c | 38.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 74c | 32.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 71c | 27.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 76c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 24.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 79c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 75c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 71c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd216…cddabacked No | 73c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.