Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2848ae7299b4a2cdee9a7407a4ad497dc1666853801ab415b371c5e080c5220

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MODUSof Team Lynx, MODUS
Resolved: May 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb53a…e694backed Team Lynx	44c	1,124$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-7.9wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked MODUS	44c	999.98$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.99	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Lynx	39c	700.03$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.38	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Lynx	56c	535.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	340	51.5%175 W · 165 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MODUS	48c	402.17$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.28	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Lynx	37c	361.85$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.03	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS	52c	358.15$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.91	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MODUS	64c	310.91$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.19	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed MODUS	67c	300$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.13	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx	61c	299.98$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.41	700	52.3%366 W · 334 L	+47.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MODUS	74c	294.17$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.63	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS	57c	255.29$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.6	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MODUS	58c	251.5$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.1	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Team Lynx	46c	241.98$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.55	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…0484backed MODUS	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b86…dd8fbacked Team Lynx	56c	185.71$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Lynx	61c	176.23$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.14	88	42%37 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Team Lynx	64c	158.32$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked Team Lynx	63c	156.27$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.74	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Lynx	56c	150$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Team Lynx	36c	150$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Lynx	28c	134$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.16	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx	28c	133$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.87	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MODUS	63c	112.94$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.11	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx	28c	106.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Lynx	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed MODUS	36c	99.36$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.59	75	41.3%31 W · 44 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Team Lynx	28c	97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfa…c499backed Team Lynx	28c	95.6$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Lynx	42c	94.31$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	760	48.6%369 W · 391 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Team Lynx	54c	91.15$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	213	44.1%94 W · 119 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MODUS	60c	83.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.35	503	53.9%271 W · 232 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Team Lynx	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Team Lynx	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	176	36.9%65 W · 111 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Team Lynx	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MODUS	44c	77.96$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.88	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed MODUS	67c	71.04$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.44	260	50.4%131 W · 129 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx	25c	68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	653	37.2%243 W · 410 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Team Lynx	25c	59.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS	72c	58.06$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MODUS	80c	56.05$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Lynx	32c	54.51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	107	28%30 W · 77 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Team Lynx	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	308	34.1%105 W · 203 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Team Lynx	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	245	27.3%67 W · 178 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Team Lynx	56c	44.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	93	60.2%56 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MODUS	49c	44.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Lynx	23c	44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	84	32.1%27 W · 57 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Team Lynx	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MODUS	64c	34.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.38	464	51.5%239 W · 225 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Team Lynx	38c	31.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	137	64.2%88 W · 49 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MODUS	52c	30.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	410	37.3%153 W · 257 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d2…386fbacked Team Lynx	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked MODUS	45c	28.89$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.89	404	42.3%171 W · 233 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Lynx	55c	28.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed MODUS	67c	25.94$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.56	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8d70backed Team Lynx	58c	20.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed MODUS	67c	20.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.7	253	49.4%125 W · 128 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x326f…1a19backed Team Lynx	58c	18.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerMODUS won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event