Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb03802686205e90e7eb3797c643cd957db9a0ffd6f1fca12ff44423b7983fa0b

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MODUSof Team Lynx, MODUS
Resolved: May 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd06c…cdafbacked MODUS	39c	7,534$2,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,567.64	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Lynx	59c	4,000$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.99	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Team Lynx	1c	3,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	122	17.2%21 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Team Lynx	66c	2,317$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518.39	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Team Lynx	1c	2,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	35	0%0 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Lynx	1c	2,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Lynx	57c	1,843$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.82	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Team Lynx	39c	1,768$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.81	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-7.9wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Team Lynx	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Team Lynx	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MODUS	53c	1,253$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.32	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Team Lynx	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Lynx	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MODUS	41c	989.95$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.07	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Lynx	57c	868.61$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.67	507	69.2%351 W · 156 L	+33.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS	41c	734.76$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.15	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MODUS	68c	580$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.52	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx	11c	575.81$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.73	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MODUS	57c	537.81$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.05	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Lynx	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Team Lynx	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS	74c	426.13$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.6	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Team Lynx	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Team Lynx	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	176	36.9%65 W · 111 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Team Lynx	7c	396$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.02	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Lynx	7c	394$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.16	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MODUS	43c	350$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.5	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Lynx	54c	335.68$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.65	280	44.3%124 W · 156 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…ea40backed Team Lynx	32c	322$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.33	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx	36c	316.41$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.36	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Lynx	57c	303.55$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.16	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS	60c	279.55$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.43	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MODUS	47c	261.81$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.48	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed MODUS	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	204	52.5%107 W · 97 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Team Lynx	60c	250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MODUS	57c	230.42$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.01	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx	60c	215.01$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.76	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Lynx	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	537	58.8%316 W · 221 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed MODUS	56c	160.32$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.32	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Lynx	62c	159.12$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	366	54.1%198 W · 168 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Lynx	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	53.1%255 W · 225 L	+25.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx	64c	156.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	54%259 W · 221 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx	38c	146.02$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.39	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed MODUS	41c	143$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.37	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Team Lynx	71c	141.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb60…39d9backed MODUS	38c	137.79$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.75	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Lynx	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15b5…ef23backed Team Lynx	36c	119.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+62%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Team Lynx	43c	118.6$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed MODUS	38c	115.63$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.54	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Lynx	58c	108.28$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	735	54.7%402 W · 333 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Team Lynx	29c	106.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed MODUS	38c	100.25$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.11	308	34.1%105 W · 203 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Lynx	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Lynx	21c	99.83$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.89	563	43.9%247 W · 316 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx	41c	88.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Lynx	28c	88.77$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08db…296fbacked Team Lynx	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Lynx	55c	78.34$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.09	338	54.1%183 W · 155 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked Team Lynx	57c	73.68$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MODUS	39c	72.82$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.66	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…7658backed MODUS	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.95	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Team Lynx	50c	57.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	288	46.9%135 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx	57c	56.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.26	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MODUS	35c	56.34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.81	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Team Lynx	39c	55$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.35	295	50.2%148 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MODUS	58c	54.3$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.01	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed Team Lynx	60c	54.26$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked Team Lynx	45c	50.42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.69	227	40.5%92 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed MODUS	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	726	37.5%272 W · 454 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed MODUS	68c	43.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.08	461	50.8%234 W · 227 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2661…6c28backed MODUS	46c	43.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.3	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MODUS	54c	40.98$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	785	16.6%130 W · 655 L	-135.4wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9cd0…c747backed MODUS	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed MODUS	74c	36.49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Lynx	62c	34.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Team Lynx	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	132	46.2%61 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Lynx	60c	33.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	760	48.6%369 W · 391 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked MODUS	70c	29.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	149	63.1%94 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Lynx	77c	28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	252	53.2%134 W · 118 L	+20.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Team Lynx	63c	26.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	137	64.2%88 W · 49 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed Team Lynx	40c	26.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	211	33.6%71 W · 140 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed MODUS	40c	25.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.38	173	38.7%67 W · 106 L	-9.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked MODUS	48c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MODUS	78c	15.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	430	67%288 W · 142 L	+31.9wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group BMODUS won
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event