CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe52a5dbf94f8816639e8dbde718254ec4aa76e4d9b62dd0aa8a342001033eca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Brute | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked STATE | 45c | 2,323$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.86 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked STATE | 50c | 1,795$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.61 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed STATE | 45c | 1,692$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.61 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed STATE | 51c | 1,479$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.88 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Brute | 49c | 1,319$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 43c | 1,212$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.42 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Brute | 50c | 1,182$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.96 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Brute | 55c | 905.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed STATE | 46c | 889.19$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.16 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed STATE | 49c | 648.37$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 26c | 563.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed STATE | 51c | 563.44$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Brute | 53c | 557.57$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 50c | 543.14$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…180ebacked Brute | 55c | 486.46$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed STATE | 47c | 485.31$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…e033backed Brute | 54c | 361.19$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Brute | 50c | 295.73$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed STATE | 45c | 283.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked STATE | 48c | 267.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Brute | 56c | 266.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed STATE | 45c | 254.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Brute | 22c | 223.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked STATE | 44c | 214.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed STATE | 55c | 200.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Brute | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Brute | 57c | 198.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…dc63backed Brute | 53c | 191.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked STATE | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Brute | 54c | 180.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed STATE | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Brute | 49c | 153.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Brute | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Brute | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 27c | 143.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Brute | 40c | 142.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Brute | 33c | 125.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 77c | 122.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed STATE | 42c | 119.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Brute | 54c | 107.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed STATE | 52c | 105.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Brute | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Brute | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed STATE | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…d157backed Brute | 53c | 99.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Brute | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…9d5ebacked STATE | 49c | 96.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed STATE | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Brute | 49c | 91.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Brute | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Brute | 52c | 70.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked STATE | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Brute | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed STATE | 44c | 57.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed STATE | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked STATE | 63c | 55.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked STATE | 41c | 54.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Brute | 31c | 52.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed STATE | 47c | 50.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Brute | 53c | 50.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Brute | 58c | 49.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked STATE | 64c | 49.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Brute | 57c | 48.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Brute | 52c | 44.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…31cbbacked Brute | 24c | 43.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Brute | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Brute | 59c | 38.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked STATE | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb746…32c1backed Brute | 55c | 35.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…48f4backed Brute | 52c | 35.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed STATE | 71c | 34.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Brute | 52c | 33.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…3825backed Brute | 56c | 29.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Brute | 57c | 29.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked Brute | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed STATE | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked STATE | 51c | 28.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed STATE | 65c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Brute | 55c | 26.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Brute | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked STATE | 44c | 23.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed STATE | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked STATE | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked STATE | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…296fbacked STATE | 75c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.